Are prices lower in stores compared to a year ago?
No, overall prices in stores are not lower compared to a year ago. While the rapid pace of price hikes (inflation) has slowed down from its peak a few years ago, prices are still generally rising, meaning most items on store shelves cost more today than they did at this time last year.
The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and reports from the USDA provide a clear picture of how store prices changed:
1. Grocery Store Prices (Food at Home)
The cost of groceries (referred to by economists as "food at home") increased by 1.8% year-over-year. However, price changes vary significantly depending on what you are buying:
2. Retail Goods (Non-Food Items)
For retail products outside of the grocery aisle—such as apparel, electronics, and household goods (classified as "commodities less food and energy")—prices have remained relatively flat but are still 0.7% higher on average than they were a year ago.
3. Overall Inflation Context
The broader economy-wide inflation rate (the all-items CPI) rose by 3.7% year-over-year. A major driver of this overall increase has been energy costs, with the energy index jumping over 20% compared to last year, which heavily impacts the supply chain and shipping costs for retailers.
Summary
If you are shopping in stores, you are likely paying slightly more on average than you were a year ago. While you may find relief in a few specific aisles—namely the dairy case, the meat counter (for pork), and the egg section—most other goods, particularly fresh produce, coffee, and sweets, will cost you more.
Citations (8)
- nbcnews.com
Backs: “No, overall prices in stores are not lower compared to a year ago.”
evidence, article, points to no. Claim: Overall prices in stores are not lower compared to a year ago.
- grocerytradenews.com
Backs: “While the rapid pace of price hikes (inflation) has slowed down from its peak a few years ago, prices are still generally rising, meaning most items on store shelves cost more today than they did at this time last year.”
evidence, article, points to no. Claim: Inflation has slowed but prices are still rising, so most store items cost more than a year ago.
- foodnavigator.com
Backs: “While the rapid pace of price hikes (inflation) has slowed down from its peak a few years ago, prices are still generally rising, meaning most items on store shelves cost more today than they did at this time last year.”
evidence, article, points to no. Claim: Inflation has slowed but prices are still rising, so most store items cost more than a year ago.
- usda.gov
Backs: “The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and reports from the USDA provide a clear picture of how store prices changed:”
background, official document, points to no. Claim: CPI data from BLS and USDA reports show how store prices changed.
- bls.gov
Backs: “The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and reports from the USDA provide a clear picture of how store prices changed:”
background, data page, points to no. Claim: CPI data from BLS and USDA reports show how store prices changed.
- usda.gov
Backs: “Coffee: Up 7.1% compared to last year.”
statistic, official document, points to no. Claim: Coffee prices are up 7.1% compared to last year.
- ycharts.com
Backs: “For retail products outside of the grocery aisle—such as apparel, electronics, and household goods (classified as "commodities less food and energy")—prices have remained relatively flat but are still 0.7% higher on average than they were a year ago. 3.”
statistic, data page, points to no. Claim: Commodities less food and energy are 0.7% higher than a year ago.
- senate.gov
Backs: “A major driver of this overall increase has been energy costs, with the energy index jumping over 20% compared to last year, which heavily impacts the supply chain and shipping costs for retailers. Summary”
statistic, official document, points to no. Claim: Energy index jumped over 20% year over year, raising supply chain and shipping costs for retailers.