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Claude Sonnet 5Sep 22, 2026anthropic/claude-sonnet-5-20260630

Are prices lower in stores compared to a year ago?

Short answer: No, overall prices are still higher than a year ago — but not uniformly

Overall, prices in stores are not lower than a year ago on average, though a handful of specific items have gotten cheaper.

The big picture:
The average price of food in the United States rose by 2.7% in the 12 months ending August, after posting an annual increase of 3% for July, according to the latest inflation data published September 11, 2026, by the U.S. Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics. Similarly, the food-at-home (grocery store or supermarket food purchases) CPI was unchanged from June 2026 to July 2026 and 2.7 percent higher than in July 2025.

But some items ARE cheaper:
A few notable exceptions exist — eggs, for instance. On average, eggs are down from $5.45 in January 2025 to $2.05 in January 2026. Chicken is down from $8.85 to $6.91. Bread is slightly down from $1.87 to $1.57. Milk is also slightly down from $3.46 to $3.26 (based on a Twin Cities grocery survey). More broadly, the latest Consumer Price Index data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that several everyday grocery staples now cost less than they did a year ago.

But many other items are still rising sharply:

•Coffee: instant coffee up 15.8% year over year, roasted coffee up 12.2%, and coffee overall up 9.4%
•Produce: the cost of tomatoes is up 12.8% year over year, while apples cost 11% more in July 2026 than they did in July 2025
•Vegetables: retail prices in July 2026 were 12.8 percent higher for fresh tomatoes, 7.5 percent higher for fresh lettuce, and 3.4 percent higher for fresh potatoes compared with retail prices in July 2025
•Dairy: fresh whole milk and other fresh milks are up 6% and 4.8%, respectively in the national CPI (though local surveys show milk essentially flat)

One retailer bucking the trend — Walmart:
Interestingly, grocery prices are up about 3% over the past year nationally, but things look a bit different at the number one seller of groceries, Walmart. At the beginning of the year, Walmart said it rolled back prices on 7,200 items. Then, the company announced in its last earnings call that it did it again — on 11,000 more items. This has been possible partly because they got a massive windfall this year — nearly $3 billion of tariff refunds in Q2, and Walmart said they were going to use some of those refunds to lower prices.

Looking ahead:
Don't expect broad relief soon — while grocery inflation has eased in recent months, food industry economists caution a temporary relief as other input costs moving through the supply chain could put renewed pressure on food prices later this year.

Bottom line: If you're comparing your total grocery bill to a year ago, it's almost certainly higher, not lower. However, if you're looking at specific items — eggs, chicken, some dairy, and select staples — you may genuinely be paying less than you were a year ago, even as coffee, produce, and other categories continue climbing.

Citations (12)

  1. Food Inflation in the United States (1968-2026)

    Source excerpt: “The average price of food in the United States rose by 2.7% in the 12 months ending August, after posting an annual increase of 3% for July, according...”

  2. 2usda.govGovernment
    Food Price Outlook - Summary Findings | Economic Research Service

    Source excerpt: “The food-at-home (grocery store or supermarket food purchases) CPI was unchanged from June 2026 to July 2026 and 2.7 percent higher than in July 2025....”

  3. 3cbsnews.comNews and mediaquality 0.88
    Costs appear to be down compared to a year ago for food staples in Twin Cities

    Source excerpt: “On average, eggs are down from $5.45 in January 2025 to $2.05 in January 2026. Chicken is down from $8.85 to $6.91. Bread is slightly down from $1.87 ...”

  4. 4betterreport.comLow provenance
    Some Grocery Prices Are Finally Going Down — Here’s What’s Getting Cheaper - Better Report

    Source excerpt: “The latest Consumer Price Index data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) shows that several everyday grocery staples now cost less than they did...”

  5. 5betterreport.comLow provenance
    Some Grocery Prices Are Finally Going Down — Here’s What’s Getting Cheaper - Better Report

    Source excerpt: “Coffee prices also continued to climb, with instant coffee up 15.8% year over year, roasted coffee up 12.2%, and coffee overall up 9.4%. ”

  6. 6betterreport.comLow provenance
    Some Grocery Prices Are Finally Going Down — Here’s What’s Getting Cheaper - Better Report

    Source excerpt: “According to the latest BLS data, the cost of tomatoes is up 12.8% year over year, while apples cost 11% more in July 2026 than they did in July 2025....”

  7. 7usda.govGovernment
    Food Price Outlook - Summary Findings | Economic Research Service

    Source excerpt: “Retail prices in July 2026 were 12.8 percent higher for fresh tomatoes, 7.5 percent higher for fresh lettuce, and 3.4 percent higher for fresh potatoe...”

  8. 8betterreport.comLow provenance
    Some Grocery Prices Are Finally Going Down — Here’s What’s Getting Cheaper - Better Report

    Source excerpt: “And while certain categories of dairy products are dropping in price, fresh whole milk and other fresh milks are up 6% and 4.8%, respectively. ”

  9. 9marketplace.orgNews and mediaquality 0.67
    While grocery costs rise, Walmart announces price cuts

    Source excerpt: “... All the stuff that makes life pricey these days, from high fuel costs to trade wars, means that grocery stores are charging more, too: grocery pri...”

  10. 10marketplace.orgNews and mediaquality 0.67
    While grocery costs rise, Walmart announces price cuts

    Source excerpt: “But things look a bit different at the number one seller of groceries, Walmart. At the beginning of the year, Walmart said it rolled back prices on 7,...”

  11. 11marketplace.orgNews and mediaquality 0.67
    While grocery costs rise, Walmart announces price cuts

    Source excerpt: “For one thing, they got a massive windfall this year, according to Arun Sundaram, senior vice president of investment strategy at CFRA research. “They...”

  12. 12foodnavigator.comNews and mediaquality 0.68
    Grocery inflation is expected to rise later this year

    Source excerpt: “While grocery inflation has eased in recent months, food industry economists caution a temporary relief as other input costs moving through the supply...”