Economy

Is cryptocurrency a safe investment?

Position tracked against: “Cryptocurrency is a safe investment.”

All datesLast 30 daysLast 7 days

How do chatbots’ citation patterns change over time?

Share of answers with a citation, each day.

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24Oct 26Oct 28Oct 30GPT-5, Oct 24: 0% (n = 1)GPT-5, Oct 25: 0% (n = 1)GPT-5, Oct 26: 0% (n = 1)GPT-5, Oct 27: 0% (n = 1)GPT-5, Oct 28: 0% (n = 1)GPT-5, Oct 29: 0% (n = 1)GPT-5, Oct 30: 0% (n = 1)Claude Sonnet 5, Oct 24: 100% (n = 1)Claude Sonnet 5, Oct 25: 0% (n = 1)Claude Sonnet 5, Oct 26: 0% (n = 1)Claude Sonnet 5, Oct 27: 0% (n = 1)Claude Sonnet 5, Oct 28: 0% (n = 1)Claude Sonnet 5, Oct 29: 0% (n = 1)Claude Sonnet 5, Oct 30: 0% (n = 1)Gemini 3.5 Flash, Oct 24: 100% (n = 1)Gemini 3.5 Flash, Oct 25: 100% (n = 1)Gemini 3.5 Flash, Oct 26: 100% (n = 1)Gemini 3.5 Flash, Oct 27: 100% (n = 1)Gemini 3.5 Flash, Oct 28: 100% (n = 1)Gemini 3.5 Flash, Oct 29: 100% (n = 1)Gemini 3.5 Flash, Oct 30: 100% (n = 1)Grok 4.5, Oct 24: 100% (n = 1)Grok 4.5, Oct 25: 100% (n = 1)Grok 4.5, Oct 26: 0% (n = 1)Grok 4.5, Oct 27: 100% (n = 1)Grok 4.5, Oct 28: 100% (n = 1)Grok 4.5, Oct 29: 0% (n = 1)Grok 4.5, Oct 30: 100% (n = 1)Muse Spark 1.2, Oct 24: 100% (n = 1)Muse Spark 1.2, Oct 25: 100% (n = 1)Muse Spark 1.2, Oct 26: 100% (n = 1)Muse Spark 1.2, Oct 27: 100% (n = 1)Muse Spark 1.2, Oct 28: 100% (n = 1)Muse Spark 1.2, Oct 29: 100% (n = 1)Muse Spark 1.2, Oct 30: 100% (n = 1)
GPT-5Claude Sonnet 5Gemini 3.5 FlashGrok 4.5Muse Spark 1.2
Data

Position over time

Average position each day on one yes-or-no question (+1 yes, −1 no).

-1.00-0.500.00+0.50+1.00Oct 27Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30GPT-5, Oct 27: -1.00 (n = 1)GPT-5, Oct 28: -1.00 (n = 1)GPT-5, Oct 29: -1.00 (n = 1)Claude Sonnet 5, Oct 27: -1.00 (n = 1)Claude Sonnet 5, Oct 28: -1.00 (n = 1)Claude Sonnet 5, Oct 29: -1.00 (n = 1)Claude Sonnet 5, Oct 30: -1.00 (n = 1)Gemini 3.5 Flash, Oct 27: -1.00 (n = 1)Gemini 3.5 Flash, Oct 28: -1.00 (n = 1)Gemini 3.5 Flash, Oct 29: -1.00 (n = 1)Gemini 3.5 Flash, Oct 30: -1.00 (n = 1)Grok 4.5, Oct 27: -1.00 (n = 1)Grok 4.5, Oct 28: -1.00 (n = 1)Grok 4.5, Oct 29: -1.00 (n = 1)Muse Spark 1.2, Oct 27: -1.00 (n = 1)Muse Spark 1.2, Oct 28: -1.00 (n = 1)Muse Spark 1.2, Oct 29: -1.00 (n = 1)
GPT-5Claude Sonnet 5Gemini 3.5 FlashGrok 4.5Muse Spark 1.2

Cryptocurrency is a safe investment.

Data

How often do chatbots cite external sources?

Share of answers with at least one link/citation.

Data

Most-cited websites

Domains by number of citations.

finra.org7
Nonprofits and think tanks
schwab.com6
Companies
forbes.com5
News and media
fidelity.com5
Companies
aboutschwab.com5
Companies
fool.com5
Commercial content
dc.gov5
Government
sffirecu.org4
Companies
kraken.com4
Companies
public.com4
Companies
sofi.com4
Companies
keshvacredit.com3
Commercial content
rathbones.com3
Companies
ct.gov3
Government
etrade.com3
Companies
nerdwallet.com3
Commercial content
sec.gov3
Government
Data

What kinds of sources do chatbots use?

Share of each chatbot’s citations by type of publisher.

Claude Sonnet 516
25%
63%
13%
Gemini 3.5 Flash57
16%
44%
16%
Grok 4.551
14%
10%
10%
47%
10%
Muse Spark 1.215
33%
13%
13%
33%
News and mediaAcademicCommercial contentGovernmentNonprofits and think tanksCompaniesData and toolsLow provenanceNot yet classified
Data

Which way the sources point

On yes-or-no questions, whether what each citation backs points to yes, to no, or neither.

Grok 4.518
17%
78%
Points to yesNeutralPoints to no
Data

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