Are prices lower in stores compared to a year ago?
Prices - I'll check current inflation and retail data versus a year ago.
No, on average prices in stores are not lower than a year ago - they are higher, although the rate of increase has slowed for groceries and some specific items are cheaper.
Overall prices are higher year-over-year
food-at-home index, which represents grocery store prices:> showed a decline of 0.1% last month and has been nearly unchanged since May. Food-at-home is 1.8% higher since September 2025
Other reporting of the same BLS data:
> Although at-home food prices didn't rise between August and September ... last month's average household grocery costs were up by 1.8% year over year
> Grocery prices, measured by the food-at-home index, fell 0.1 percent over the month and were up 1.8 percent from a year earlier
That 1.8% was described as the lowest 12-month grocery inflation rate since December 2024, but still an increase - not a decrease.
In other words, lower inflation does not mean lower prices - it means prices are rising more slowly.
Some specific store items ARE cheaper than a year ago
The average is pulled up by most categories, but several grocery and retail categories have seen deflation:
So while you may find some items on sale for less than last year - especially eggs, pork/bacon, dairy, toys, appliances and electronics - the typical grocery basket and overall store prices are still about 1.8% to 3.7% more expensive than a year ago.
Citations (1)
- Grocery Meat Prices Fell in September Despite CPI Surge
Backs: “The US Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose 3.7% year-over-year in September 2026, up from 3.4% in August. On a monthly basis it rose 0.6% seasonally adjusted. Food prices overall were unchanged for the month and 2.5% higher than a year ago.”