Are prices lower in stores compared to a year ago?
Your question about store prices vs a year ago - I'll check the latest inflation and pricing data.
No - in general prices in stores are still higher than a year ago, even though the rate of increase has slowed and some items are cheaper month-to-month.
The September increase was 0.6% for the month, driven by a 9.1% surge in fuel prices.
As one analysis noted:
> A lower annual inflation rate is not the same as cheaper groceries than a year ago. Average food-at-home prices remained 1.8% above September 2025 despite the monthly decline.
And more generally:
> Inflation measures how quickly prices change, not whether they have returned to an earlier level. A 2.8% annual grocery rate means the average basket still costs more than it did a year ago
So a falling inflation rate does not mean prices have fallen - prices have not fallen.
Some exceptions where specific store items are lower than a year ago:
But for the average basket, you are paying more than in September/October 2025, just rising less quickly than during the high-inflation period of 2021-2023.
Citations (2)
- US inflation heats up in September on fuel costs
Backs: “No - in general prices in stores are still higher than a year ago, even though the rate of increase has slowed and some items are cheaper month-to-month. Overall US consumer prices: In the 12 months through September, the CPI advanced 3.7% after rising 3.4% in August.”
- Grocery Meat Prices Fell in September Despite CPI Surge
Backs: “Grocery / Food-at-home prices: Grocery store prices dipped 0.1% over the month but rose 1.8% year on year.”