Is political polarization worse than it's been in the past?
Short answer: Yes, by most measures—especially in the U.S.
Political polarization today is generally considered more severe than at most points in recent historical memory, though the full picture is nuanced depending on what exactly you measure and over what timeframe.
Evidence that polarization is at historic or near-historic highs
In Congress/elite politics: DW-NOMINATE scores reveal that in the periods during and immediately after World War II, the difference in ideology between the median Democrat and median Republican in Congress did not differ nearly as much as they do today. Whereas there used to be many Republicans who were less conservative than the most conservative Democrat, and vice versa, there is no overlap today—the most liberal Republican is still more conservative than the most conservative Democrat.
In the electorate: Pew's landmark study found that Republicans and Democrats are more divided along ideological lines – and partisan antipathy is deeper and more extensive – than at any point in recent history. More specifically, the proportion of individuals expressing consistently conservative or liberal opinions increased from 10% in 1994 to 21% in 2014, while ideological overlap between political partisans significantly declined over the same period.
"Affective polarization" (how much partisans dislike the other side) has grown dramatically. A major cross-national study found that in the U.S., affective polarization has increased more dramatically since the late 1970s than in eight other comparable democracies—the U.K., Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Germany, Switzerland, Norway and Sweden. Using "feeling thermometer" data, researchers found in 1978, the average American rated members of their own party 27 points higher than the other party; by 2016, that gap had grown to 45.9 points.
Partisan hostility has intensified even in just the last decade. Pew Research Center polling reveals a sharp rise in partisan hostility: in 2022, 72% of Republicans and 63% of Democrats viewed the opposing party as more immoral than other Americans—up dramatically from 47% and 35% in 2016. And many Americans perceive this directly—Americans increasingly see the country as more divided than at any time since the Civil War.
The trend continues into 2025. Recent Pew data shows rising political polarization in the last two years, mirroring a broader surge in partisan division across the country. A political scientist studying this summarized it bluntly: "The U.S. is very very polarized... Polarization can always get worse. But at this point we are in a really high level of polarization."
The international comparison makes it more striking
This isn't a universal global trend—it's particularly acute in the U.S. A study measuring trends in 12 OECD countries over the last 40 years found that of the countries included, the US experienced the largest increase in polarization. Similarly, in the late 20th and early 21st century, the U.S. has experienced a greater surge in ideological polarization and affective polarization than comparable democracies.
Important caveats and nuance
Bottom line
If you're asking about the U.S. specifically within the last ~50-80 years, the answer is clearly yes—by nearly every metric (legislative voting patterns, partisan animosity, ideological sorting), division is at or near modern highs, and the pace of increase has outstripped peer democracies. However, it's worth noting that some underlying value divides (religious/moral) have been stable for decades—what's changed is how strongly those divides map onto party identity and how much emotional hostility they generate.
Citations (16)
- Political Polarization in America: A Historical Analysis
Source excerpt: “### Political Polarization in Congress DW-NOMINATE scores reveal that in the periods during and immediately after World War II, the difference in ideo...”
- Political Polarization in America: A Historical Analysis
Source excerpt: “Whereas there used to be many Republicans who were less conservative than the most conservative Democrat, and vice versa, there is no overlap today. T...”
- Political Polarization in the American Public
Source excerpt: “Data are drawn from a national telephone survey of 10,013 adults, conducted from January through March of this year, and ... Republicans and Democrat...”
- Quantifying Polarization: A Comparative Study of Measures and Methods
Source excerpt: “Historical data from the Pew Research Center [5] illustrates the deepening ideological divides in the U.S., where the proportion of individuals expres...”
- U.S. is polarizing faster than other democracies, study finds
Source excerpt: “They found that in the U.S., affective polarization has increased more dramatically since the late 1970s than in the eight other countries they examin...”
- U.S. is polarizing faster than other democracies, study finds
Source excerpt: “They found that in 1978, the average American rated the members of their own political party 27 points higher than members of the other major party. ...”
- The 'Great Divide': Understanding US Political Polarization
Source excerpt: “Pew Research Center polling reveals a sharp rise in partisan hostility: in 2022, 72% of Republicans and 63% of Democrats viewed the opposing party as ...”
- The 'Great Divide': Understanding US Political Polarization
Source excerpt: “## Video Player Americans increasingly see the country as more divided than at any time since the Civil War. ”
- Some social media platforms become more polarized, reflecting a hyper-partisan America
Source excerpt: “Social media platforms are seeing rising political polarization in the last two years, mirroring a broader surge in partisan division across the count...”
- Some social media platforms become more polarized, reflecting a hyper-partisan America
Source excerpt: ““The U.S. is very very polarized,” Calvo said. “Polarization can always get worse. But at this point we are in a really high level of polarization.” ”
- Why are we so politically polarized? Here’s what research says
Source excerpt: “Reiljan’s suspicion received support from a study measuring trends in 12 OECD countries over the last 40 years. Of the countries included, the US expe...”
- Political polarization in the United States
Source excerpt: “[[2]](./Political_polarization_in_the_United_States#cite_note-2) [[3]](./Political_polarization_in_the_United_States#cite_note-3) [[4]](./Political_po...”
- Polarization in the United States Reconsidered
Source excerpt: “While many have argued that America has witnessed a shift from disagreements on redistribution to disagreements on culture, Desmet’s findings indicate...”
- Political polarization in the United States
Source excerpt: “[[7]](./Political_polarization_in_the_United_States#cite_note-sectarian-7) Polarization among U.S. legislators is asymmetric, as it has primarily been...”
- Why are we so politically polarized? Here’s what research says
Source excerpt: “What is often missed, Lee explains, are changes in the scope of policy issues over time. For example, even though measurements show increasing party ...”
- Why are we so politically polarized? Here’s what research says
Source excerpt: “## Taking the political temperature A 2021 study across 51 countries reported similar results, with countries like Bulgaria, Slovakia and the Czech ...”