Is political polarization worse than it's been in the past?
To answer whether political polarization is worse than it has been in the past, it helps to look at two different benchmarks: the recent past (the last 50 to 70 years) and the entirety of American history.
The short answer is: Yes, polarization is worse than it has been in any living American's memory, but it is not the worst it has ever been in the nation's history.
The current state of division compares to past eras in several distinct ways:
1. Compared to the Recent Past: Yes, It is Significantly Worse
If you compare today’s political landscape to the mid-to-late 20th century, the United States is vastly more polarized.
2. Compared to Deep American History: No, It Is Not "Worse Than Ever"
When looking at the full arc of U.S. history, the current era is not the most polarized the country has been.
Why the Mid-20th Century Was an "Anomaly"
When people look back at a time of "political civility" and bipartisan cooperation, they are usually looking at the mid-20th century (roughly the 1940s through the early 1970s).
However, historians point out that this era of low polarization was actually a historical anomaly. It was forged by unique circumstances: the shared national traumas of the Great Depression and World War II, a booming postwar economy, and the unifying existential threat of the Cold War.
Once those unifying factors faded, and the civil rights movement reshuffled the geographic alignments of the two political parties (with conservative Southern Democrats moving to the Republican Party), the U.S. began returning to its historical baseline of high polarization.
What Makes Modern Polarization Uniquely Dangerous?
Even though the U.S. is not currently fighting a physical civil war, political scientists warn that modern polarization has unique, compounding drivers that make it highly volatile:
Summary
If "the past" means the era of your parents or grandparents, yes, political polarization is worse today than it has been in decades. But if "the past" includes the 19th century, the U.S. has survived deep, structurally violent splits before—though navigating the current divide remains one of the greatest challenges of the modern era.
Citations (12)
- democracyproject.org
Backs: “To answer whether political polarization is worse than it has been in the past, it helps to look at two different benchmarks: the recent past (the last 50 to 70 years) and the entirety of American history.”
- pewresearch.org
Backs: “To answer whether political polarization is worse than it has been in the past, it helps to look at two different benchmarks: the recent past (the last 50 to 70 years) and the entirety of American history.”
- usc.edu
Backs: “The Disappearance of the "Center": In the 1950s, 60s, and 70s, there was substantial ideological overlap between the Democratic and Republican parties. You could easily find conservative Democrats (mostly from the South) and liberal Republicans (mostly from the Northeast).”
- amacad.org
Backs: “You could easily find conservative Democrats (mostly from the South) and liberal Republicans (mostly from the Northeast). Today, that overlap has completely vanished.”
- brookings.edu
Backs: “Today, that overlap has completely vanished. Political scientists who track roll-call voting records (using a metric called DW-NOMINATE) note that the "overlap interval"—the space where moderate members of both parties vote similarly—is now at zero.”
- usc.edu
Backs: “Political scientists who track roll-call voting records (using a metric called DW-NOMINATE) note that the "overlap interval"—the space where moderate members of both parties vote similarly—is now at zero. The Rise of "Affective Polarization": Polarization is no longer just about disagreeing on tax rates or…”
- stanford.edu
Backs: “The Rise of "Affective Polarization": Polarization is no longer just about disagreeing on tax rates or infrastructure spend. It has become "affective," meaning voters do not just disagree with the opposing party—they actively dislike and distrust them.”
- brown.edu
Backs: “It has become "affective," meaning voters do not just disagree with the opposing party—they actively dislike and distrust them. According to Pew Research Center, the share of Democrats and Republicans who view the other party as "immoral" or a threat to the nation’s well-being has surged dramatically.”
- syr.edu
Backs: “According to Pew Research Center, the share of Democrats and Republicans who view the other party as "immoral" or a threat to the nation’s well-being has surged dramatically. The U.S.”
- brookings.edu
Backs: “During this period, disagreements over slavery and state sovereignty were deeply moralized, leaving no room for legislative compromise. This division led to secession, a total collapse of the constitutional system, and a civil war that resulted in the deaths of hundreds of thousands of Americans.”
- democracyproject.org
Backs: “The Reconstruction and Gilded Age (1870s–1890s): Following the Civil War, the late 19th century was characterized by extreme partisanship, intense media bias (via the "partisan press"), and frequent government gridlock. Political scientists point out that congressional voting polarization today has only recently…”
- wikiversity.org
Backs: “Why the Mid-20th Century Was an "Anomaly". When people look back at a time of "political civility" and bipartisan cooperation, they are usually looking at the mid-20th century (roughly the 1940s through the early 1970s). However, historians point out that this era of low polarization was actually a historical anomaly.”