Is political polarization worse than it's been in the past?
Your question spans decades of data — I'll pull current research comparing today's polarization to the past.
By most measurable standards, yes - but with important historical nuance:
1. What is at record highs
Scholars distinguish between ideological polarization (differences between policy positions) and affective polarization (a dislike and distrust of political out-groups)
Both have increased sharply in recent decades:
2. Elite vs mass polarization
The increase has been most pronounced among political elites:
For the mass public, the picture is more mixed:
In other words, Americans are more consistently sorted into liberal-Democrat and conservative-Republican camps than in the 1970s-1990s, and they dislike the other side more than before, but most ordinary voters are not as ideologically extreme or divided on every issue as elected officials and highly engaged activists.
3. Historical perspective - not the most polarized ever
The current period is often compared to two earlier highly polarized eras:
Another view notes: for all the hype about the ruptures and partisan rancor in contemporary American society, the strife pales in comparison with much of the nation's past. There have been long stretches of American history in which conflicts were far worse.
The relatively low polarization of the 1950s and 1960s was marked by high levels of political bipartisanship, the results of a post-World War II "consensus" as well as ideological diversity within each party. That period is now seen as the exception, not the norm, making the post-1970s increase look especially sharp.
In short: Measured by roll-call votes, ideological consistency, and feelings toward the opposing party, polarization today is worse than at any time in the last 50-100 years and is the highest since the Civil War/Reconstruction. Whether it is worse than the Civil War itself — when polarization led to open political violence and secession — most historians would say no.
Citations (2)
- Political polarization in the United States
Backs: “Your question spans decades of data — I'll pull current research comparing today's polarization to the past. By most measurable standards, yes - but with important historical nuance: 1. What is at record highs. Scholars distinguish between ideological polarization (differences between policy positions) and affective…”
- The Polarization of Contemporary American Politics
Backs: “Polarization of the Democratic and Republican Parties is higher than at any time since the end of the Civil War. The same research concludes the level of polarization in Congress is now the highest since the end of the Civil War and shows no sign that it will abate.”