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Muse Spark 1.2Oct 14, 2026meta/muse-spark-1.2-20260805

Are prices lower in stores compared to a year ago?

Are store prices down from a year ago? I'll check the latest inflation data.

No, - in general prices in stores are higher, not lower, than a year ago. What has come down is the rate of inflation, not price levels.

•A fall in inflation does not necessarily mean lower prices - it means prices are rising more slowly.

U.S. official data:

> The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 3.0 percent for the 12 months ending September 2025, after rising 2.9 percent over the 12 months ending August

Other reports summarized the same Bureau of Labor Statistics release as:

> Consumer prices rose 3.0% in September from a year ago, slightly below forecasters' expectations, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

For everyday goods in stores specifically:

> prices for everyday goods are up 2.1% versus a year ago, essentially flat relative to the year-over-year rate in August

> Prices for everyday household goods are up 34.0% since January 2018 and are up 2.1% over the past 12 months

Grocery:

> Grocery prices have increased 3.4% on average since January 2025, the month Trump took over from Biden, through August 2026, according to seasonally adjusted figures from the federal Consumer Price Index.

> The ConsumerAffairs Datasembly Shopping Cart Index shows that grocery prices ... That’s down 0.9% month over month from September’s $152.21, but still up 3.6% year over year compared to October 2024’s $145.64

That overall increase hides some variation:

•Some items have fallen - eggs are indeed down big since January 2025, 31.1%, after spiking at the end of Biden’s term because of an avian flu outbreak - but:

> No other grocery product or product category has fallen even a third as much as eggs have during this presidency.

•Five of six overarching categories of grocery products tracked by the Consumer Price Index are up substantially since January 2025: cereals and bakery products (up 3.3%); meats, poultry, fish and eggs (up 3%); fruits and vegetables (up 4.6%); nonalcoholic beverages and beverage materials (up 6.3%); and “other food at home” (up 3%)

Exceptions are isolated, like a Wells Fargo analysis finding a typical Thanksgiving dinner in 2025 around 2% to 3% less than the previous year, but that does not represent the overall basket.

In short, you are paying more at the register than a year ago, just not as much more than during the high inflation of 2022-2023.

Citations (3)

  1. 1bls.govGovernment
    Consumer prices up 3.0 percent from September 2024 to September 2025

    Backs: “A fall in inflation does not necessarily mean lower prices - it means prices are rising more slowly. U.S. official data: The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 3.0 percent for the 12 months ending September 2025, after rising 2.9 percent over the 12 months ending August”

  2. 2theeveningleader.comNot yet classified
    NUMERATOR CONSUMER GOODS PRICE INDEX: INFLATION HOLDS STEADY AFTER TWO MONTHS OF COOLING, PRICES UP 2.1% VS. SEPTEMBER 2025

    Backs: “Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). For everyday goods in stores specifically: prices for everyday goods are up 2.1% versus a year ago, essentially flat relative to the year-over-year rate in August”

  3. 3kioncentralcoast.comNews and media
    Fact check: Trump lies again that grocery prices ‘have come way down’ this term

    Backs: “Prices for everyday household goods are up 34.0% since January 2018 and are up 2.1% over the past 12 months. Grocery: Grocery prices have increased 3.4% on average since January 2025, the month Trump took over from Biden, through August 2026, according to seasonally adjusted figures from the federal Consumer Price…”