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Claude Sonnet 5Oct 12, 2026anthropic/claude-sonnet-5-20260630

Is Donald Trump improving the US government?

Is Trump Improving the US Government? A Mixed Picture

This is a deeply contested question, and the answer depends heavily on which metrics and values you prioritize. Here's what the evidence shows from multiple angles:

Public Opinion: Declining Support

Trump's approval ratings have steadily eroded since he began his second term. At the time Trump began his second term, his approval rating was 47%, but throughout 2025 to 2026, it declined to an average of 36 to 37%. By mid-2026, his approval sat at 34% as of mid-July—lower than his rating at a comparable point in his first term (40% in August 2018) and lower than most other recent presidents at similar stages.

Notably, the decline isn't just among opponents. The decrease in Trump's approval ratings has primarily come from Republicans and Republican-leaning independents: 69% approve of his job performance, down from 84% in February 2025. A recent AP-NORC poll found three in 10 adults say Trump has been a good or great president so far in his second term, while 52% say he has been a poor or terrible president.

Areas Often Cited as Successes

Supporters and some analysts point to tangible wins:

•Border security: Border enforcement shows measurable change, with federal officials reporting extended periods of sharply reduced southwest border apprehensions, including 14 consecutive months with fewer than 9,000.
•Legislative/foreign policy wins: Despite political struggles, Trump's second term includes notable policy achievements—passing major tax legislation, ending the war between Israel and Hamas, and slowing illegal border crossings to a trickle.

Areas of Significant Criticism

Economic performance has been a major sore point. Trump promised to bring prices down on day one, but cost of living increased by an annualized 2.7 percent, and his failure to honor that pledge has cost him public trust. Polling confirms this: the public is concerned about Trump's impact on the economy, with about half saying the country and national economy have become somewhat or much worse off since 2025.

Accuracy of claims has also been questioned. Fact-checkers found Trump overstated achievements, including claiming the U.S. secured $18 trillion in investment commitments when the White House's own website showed $9.6 trillion.

Democratic norms and institutional concerns: Analysts have raised flags about executive overreach. Trump sent masked agents into US cities to detain undocumented migrants and ordered National Guard deployments into cities while cutting research funding to pressure universities ideologically. Separately, Trump has attacked the integrity of U.S. elections on more than 70 percent of days since returning to office, repeatedly making false claims.

Trust and honesty metrics: Americans' assessments of Trump have declined steadily, with his job approval rating at one point hitting 34%—the lowest mark of his second term—and he has also lost ground across personal attributes. A Pew report specifically noted a majority of Americans say the level of ethics and honesty in government has fallen during Trump's term.

Bottom Line

There's no single objective answer here—it genuinely depends on your values and what you mean by "improving." If you prioritize border enforcement, deregulation, or tax cuts, there's evidence of change in those directions. If you prioritize economic affordability, institutional trust, democratic norms, or truthful public communication, the data points more negatively, and even Trump's own voter base has grown more skeptical over time. I'd encourage looking at specific policy areas you care most about rather than seeking one overall verdict, since reasonable people weigh these trade-offs very differently.

Citations (13)

  1. 1wikipedia.orgEncyclopedias and referencequality 0.83
    Opinion polling on the second Trump presidency

    Source excerpt: “At the time when Donald Trump began his second term, his approval rating was 47%, [[3]](./Opinion_polling_on_the_second_Trump_presidency#cite_note-3) ...”

  2. 2pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Trump’s job approval rating is low by historical standards

    Source excerpt: “# Trump’s job approval rating is low by historical standards President Donald Trump’s job approval rating – 34% as of mid-July – has changed little ov...”

  3. 3pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Trump’s job approval rating is low by historical standards

    Source excerpt: “#### How Trump’s approval rating has changed in his second term The decrease in Trump’s approval ratings during his current administration has primari...”

  4. 4apnorc.orgAcademic
    The public is concerned about Trump’s policy priorities - AP-NORC

    Source excerpt: “Three in 10 adults say Trump has been a good or great president so far in his second term, and 17% say he’s been average. Fifty-two percent say he has...”

  5. 5stl.newsNews and media
    Trump’s Second Term: The Data Behind the Accomplishments and the Fight Over the Narrative in 2026

    Source excerpt: “## Border Enforcement: A Measurable Shift in Federal Control Border security is another major area where the second-term record includes clear, measur...”

  6. 6brookings.eduNonprofits and think tanks
    As President Trump loses support, Republican prospects in the 2026 midterms grow darker

    Source excerpt: “Despite some notable policy achievements—passing major tax legislation, ending the war between Israel and Hamas, and slowing illegal border crossings ...”

  7. 7thehill.comNews and mediaquality 0.90
    Trump's second term: A year of broken promises

    Source excerpt: “After one year in office, President Trump’s second term has been marked by broken promises, failed policies, and a focus on foreign ambitions rather t...”

  8. 8apnorc.orgAcademic
    The public is concerned about Trump’s policy priorities - AP-NORC

    Source excerpt: “The public is more concerned about Trump’s impact on the country and overall economy than they are about their own household situation. About half say...”

  9. 9wral.comNews and mediaquality 0.88
    Fact-checking Donald Trump’s claims about his second term accomplishments :: WRAL.com

    Source excerpt: “He said **the U.S. has "secured a record-breaking $18 trillion in commitments for new investments."** The White House website since mid-November has s...”

  10. 10cnn.comNews and mediaquality 0.66
    Analysis: 2026 is a hinge in history that will define Trump’s second term and legacy

    Source excerpt: “# 2026 is a hinge in history that will define Trump’s second term and legacy Trump sent masked agents into US cities to grab undocumented migrants (so...”

  11. 11electionlawblog.orgNot yet classified
    "Trump Has Cast Doubt on Elections on 440 Days in His Second Term" - Election Law Blog

    Source excerpt: “President Trump has attacked the integrity of U.S. elections on more than 70 percent of the days since he returned to office, ... NYT: President Trum...”

  12. 12pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Trump Loses Ground on Several Personal Traits as Approval Rating Slips

    Source excerpt: “Americans’ assessments of President Donald Trump have declined steadily over the last several months. His job approval rating now stands at 34% – the ...”

  13. 13pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Trump Loses Ground on Several Personal Traits as Approval Rating Slips

    Source excerpt: “But Trump’s younger and Hispanic voters are now substantially less likely than his older and White voters to approve of his job performance: 57% of Tr...”