More answers like this
Claude Sonnet 5Oct 12, 2026anthropic/claude-sonnet-5-20260630

Is political polarization worse than it's been in the past?

Short answer: Yes, in important ways — but with real nuance

By most empirical measures, affective polarization (how much Americans dislike the other side, as opposed to how much they disagree on issues) is at or near its highest level in the modern polling era, and it's gotten dramatically worse over the last 30-50 years.

The evidence for "worse than ever"

Feelings toward the opposing party have become much more hostile. Levels of affective polarization have risen more than two-fold since the 1970s, with the gap between Americans' ratings of their own party and the opposing party widening from 27 points in 1978 to 56 points by 2020 on feeling-thermometer surveys.

Ideological overlap between the parties has essentially vanished. The overall share of Americans who express consistently conservative or consistently liberal opinions has doubled over the past two decades, and as a result, 92% of Republicans are now to the right of the median Democrat, and 94% of Democrats are to the left of the median Republican.

In Congress specifically, following a period of a much more balanced Congress during the middle of the 20th century, ideological distance between the parties began to grow during the 1970s to the extent that Congress is now more polarized than at any time since the late 1870s Reconstruction Era. Looking at voting records, since the post–Civil War era, polarization levels have shown considerable volatility, and the contemporary level is a record—though Congress has "recovered" from earlier periods of high polarization before.

Recent 2026 data shows this intensifying further. A Gallup analysis found in 2026, only 12% of Democrats are satisfied with the system of government, compared with 24% of independents and 52% of Republicans — the first time in the past 25 years that any party dipped below 20% satisfaction. One analysis of partisan approval gaps found an 80-point partisan gap in Trump approval, the highest recorded in the modern polling era, compared to 70 points for Obama and 60 points for Clinton.

The important caveats

1.It's not unprecedented in absolute historical terms. As one review notes, viewed within the context of data from the last two centuries, today's levels of polarization are not such an alarming anomaly compared to those occurring during the time of slavery and similar points along the historical continuum (i.e., the Civil War era, Reconstruction, and periods like 1890-1910 were arguably worse).
2.Issue disagreement is less extreme than the rhetoric suggests. This is probably the most important nuance: the general public is actually less divided on a range of issues than in the past, and many policies have bipartisan support. A 2026 analysis found 79% support Medicare drug negotiation, 76% pre-existing conditions protections, 70% marijuana decriminalization — across party lines, even as affective hostility has spiked.
3.Geographic self-sorting is accelerating, which makes division feel more total: the share of Americans in "landslide counties" grew from 39% in 1992 to 57% in 2024, limiting cross-partisan exposure.
4.Perception may outrun reality. One Cambridge researcher argues polarisation in the US can feel much worse than it is, because political groups have moved further apart in recent years, but these divisions are still fuzzy, and Americans are not split into entirely opposing tribes when it comes to the issues.

Bottom line

If you're asking about emotional/tribal hostility and elite-level (Congress, media, activists) division, the data strongly supports "yes, worse than in living memory" — arguably the worst since Reconstruction. If you're asking whether ordinary Americans disagree more on actual policy substance, the picture is more mixed: people are sorted into teams and dislike the other team more than ever, but don't necessarily disagree on policy as much as the tribal hostility would suggest. This is sometimes called the "polarization paradox" — division on affect/identity running well ahead of division on issues.

Citations (10)

  1. 1econlib.orgEncyclopedias and reference
    Yes, political polarization has gotten much worse - Econlib

    Source excerpt: “Levels of affective polarisation have risen more than two-fold since the 1970s when the American National Election Studies, a quadrennial academic sur...”

  2. 2pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Political Polarization in the American Public

    Source excerpt: “Democrats and Republicans More Ideologically Divided than in the Past The overall share of Americans who express consistently conservative or consist...”

  3. 3pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Political Polarization in the American Public

    Source excerpt: “As a result, ideological overlap between the two parties has diminished: Today, 92% of Republicans are to the right of the median Democrat, and 94% of...”

  4. 4usc.eduAcademic
    Political polarization at its worst since the Civil War - USC Today

    Source excerpt: “Following a period of a much more balanced Congress during the middle of the 20th century, ideological distance between the parties began to grow duri...”

  5. Congressional Polarization: Terminal Constitutional Dysfunction? - Columbia Law Review

    Source excerpt: “Since the post–Civil War era—when today’s Republican and Democratic parties first emerged—polarization levels (measured by roll-call voting) have show...”

  6. 6brookings.eduNonprofits and think tanks
    Historic polarization and historic lows in satisfaction with government, quality of life, and opportunity to get ahead

    Source excerpt: “In 2026, 12% of Democrats are satisfied with the system of government, compared with 24% of independents and 52% of Republicans. This is the first tim...”

  7. 7uspollingdata.comData and tools
    Political Polarization in 2026: How Divided Is America, Really?

    Source excerpt: “80pt Partisan gap in Trump approval 57% Americans in "landslide counties" (2024) 63% - 80-point partisan gap in Trump approval (90% R / 8-10% D) ...”

  8. 8usc.eduAcademic
    Political polarization at its worst since the Civil War - USC Today

    Source excerpt: ““In the 1960s, for instance, you had intervals where about 50 percent of the legislators in the two parties overlapped.” Some political scientists ha...”

  9. 9facinghistory.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Political Polarization in the United States

    Source excerpt: “In addition, the general public is less divided on a range of issues than in the past. Many policies have bipartisan support, or support from members ...”

  10. 10cam.ac.ukAcademic
    Political division in the US surged from 2008 onwards

    Source excerpt: “However, De-Wit argues that polarisation in the US can feel much worse than it is. “Political groups have moved further apart in recent years, but the...”