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GPT-5Oct 1, 2026openai/gpt-5-2025-08-07

What are today's top business/market headlines?

Here are the top business/market headlines for Thursday, October 1, 2026 (U.S.):

•Bonds at multi‑decade highs: The 10‑year U.S. Treasury yield touched about 5.30%, the highest since 2007, even as traders trimmed odds of an October Fed hike after a cooler August PCE inflation print.[1]
•Stocks exit September on the back foot: The S&P 500 fell for the month and Europe logged its first monthly drop in six, capping a choppy quarter as higher yields pressured risk assets.[2]
•Oil near $98 Brent, $90 WTI: Crude was little changed in early Asia after recent gains; markets are weighing U.S.–Iran talks and Middle East export flows.[3]
•Dollar holds firm; gold wobbles: The dollar index is hovering near a two‑month high alongside elevated yields, while gold remains under pressure despite softer U.S. inflation data.[4]
•China factory activity expands: China’s official manufacturing PMI returned to expansion in September, offering a tentative lift to regional growth sentiment.[5]
•Policy backdrop: A U.S. government shutdown was averted ahead of the new fiscal year, with a continuing resolution signed that funds agencies into December.[6]

What to watch today

•U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI (September) is due at 10:00 a.m. ET, a key early read on growth, prices, and employment in the factory sector.[7]

If you’d like, I can also add premarket movers once U.S. trading gets underway.

Citations (7)

  1. 1livemint.comNot yet classified
    US yields rise slightly, rate hike bets ease after inflation data | Stock Market News

    Backs: “Treasury yield touched about 5.30%, the highest since 2007, even as traders trimmed odds of an October Fed hike after a cooler August PCE inflation print.”

  2. 2marketscreener.comNews and media
    Bonds post worst month in years; stocks decline for September and oil gains | MarketScreener Australia

    Backs: “The S&P 500 fell for the month and Europe logged its first monthly drop in six, capping a choppy quarter as higher yields pressured risk assets.”

  3. 3investing.comNews and mediaquality 0.54
    Oil prices barely changed as investors assess US-Iran peace talks and Gulf exports By Reuters

    Backs: “Crude was little changed in early Asia after recent gains; markets are weighing U.S.–Iran talks and Middle East export flows.”

  4. 4marketscreener.comNews and media
    Dollar holds near two-month peak as yields rise, Fed data looms | MarketScreener

    Backs: “The dollar index is hovering near a two‑month high alongside elevated yields, while gold remains under pressure despite softer U.S. inflation data.”

  5. 5apnews.comNews and mediaquality 1.00
    Factory activity returns to expansion in a positive sign for China's economy

    Backs: “China’s official manufacturing PMI returned to expansion in September, offering a tentative lift to regional growth sentiment.”

  6. 6marketscreener.comNews and media
    Trump signs bill to avert government shutdown before midterm elections | MarketScreener Canada

    Backs: “A U.S. government shutdown was averted ahead of the new fiscal year, with a continuing resolution signed that funds agencies into December.”

  7. 7ismworld.orgNot yet classified
    Report Release Date Calendar

    Backs: “ET, a key early read on growth, prices, and employment in the factory sector.”