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GPT-5Sep 28, 2026openai/gpt-5-2025-08-07

Is Donald Trump improving the US government?

Both sidesSays it is contested

Short answer: it depends on what you mean by “improving.” Across different yardsticks, the picture is mixed.

Where supporters point to improvements

•Crime and public safety: The FBI reports a historically large drop in violent crime in 2025 (about −9% year over year), with the murder rate falling to its lowest level in decades; early 2026 data show declines continuing.[1]
•Border enforcement: GAO says encounters at the Southwest border fell sharply in FY2025 versus the prior several years. The administration also tightened several immigration policies (some later blocked in court).[2]
•Economy/inflation: Real GDP grew about 2.1% in 2025; unemployment was 4.1% in August 2026; CPI inflation ran 3.4% year over year in August 2026—lower than the 2021–2022 peaks.[3]
•Regulatory/management changes: The White House and OPM created a new “Schedule Policy/Career” category (a revival of “Schedule F”–style reforms) to make it easier to remove policy‑influencing civil servants, which backers say increases accountability and efficiency.[4]
•Trade enforcement: The administration suspended the “de minimis” duty‑free threshold for low‑value imports and expanded tariff tools, arguing this protects industry and addresses illicit flows.[5]

Where critics see harm or risks

•Rule of law/institutions: The Supreme Court struck down the administration’s attempt to limit birthright citizenship (June 30, 2026), highlighting overreach and legal defeats.[6]
•Civil service politicization and capacity: GAO and OPM data show sizable federal workforce reductions; opponents argue Schedule Policy/Career undermines merit protections and degrades service delivery.[7]
•Fiscal outlook: The deficit remained very large—about $1.8T in FY2025—and debt grew relative to GDP; CBO projects persistent, high deficits.[8]
•Costs and trade frictions: The de minimis suspension and shifting tariff policy raise compliance costs and prices for many importers and consumers, according to agencies’ own rulemaking records.[9]

Bottom line: Some performance indicators improved during Trump’s current term (notably reported crime and certain border metrics), while other developments raised concerns about constitutional limits, civil‑service neutrality, fiscal sustainability, and consumer costs. Whether that counts as “improving the government” depends on which outcomes and values you prioritize.

If you can tell me which areas you care about most—economy, immigration, crime, climate/energy, foreign policy, or the functioning of the federal bureaucracy—I can go deeper on just those, with the latest data and rulings.

Citations (9)

  1. 1fbi.govGovernment
    FBI Releases 2025 Reported Crimes in the Nation Statistics — FBI

    Backs: “The FBI reports a historically large drop in violent crime in 2025 (about −9% year over year), with the murder rate falling to its lowest level in decades; early 2026 data show declines continuing.”

    statistic, article, points to yes. Claim: FBI reports a historically large drop in violent crime in 2025 (about -9%) and murder rate at lowest in decades.

  2. 2gao.govGovernment
    GAO-26-107765, BORDER SECURITY: Additional Information Could Inform Enforcement Decisions for Noncitizens Paroled at the Southwest Border

    Backs: “The administration also tightened several immigration policies (some later blocked in court).”

    evidence, official document, points to yes. Claim: GAO says Southwest border encounters fell sharply in FY2025 versus prior years.

  3. 3bea.govGovernment
    GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 | U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

    Backs: “CPI inflation ran 3.4% year over year in August 2026—lower than the 2021–2022 peaks.”

    statistic, article, points to yes. Claim: Real GDP grew about 2.1% in 2025; economy indicators cited as improvements.

  4. 4govinfo.govGovernment
    DCPD-202500138 - Executive Order 14171—Restoring Accountability to Policy-Influencing Positions Within the Federal Workforce - DCPD-202500138 | Content Details | GovInfo

    Backs: “The White House and OPM created a new “Schedule Policy/Career” category (a revival of “Schedule F”–style reforms) to make it easier to remove policy‑influencing civil servants, which backers say increases accountability and efficiency.”

    evidence, official document, points to yes. Claim: Schedule Policy/Career created to make removing policy-influencing civil servants easier, which backers say increases accountability.

  5. 5whitehouse.govGovernment
    Continuing the Suspension of Duty-Free De Minimis Treatment for All Countries – The White House

    Backs: “The administration suspended the “de minimis” duty‑free threshold for low‑value imports and expanded tariff tools, arguing this protects industry and addresses illicit flows.”

    evidence, official document, points to yes. Claim: Administration suspended de minimis duty-free threshold, arguing it protects industry and addresses illicit flows.

  6. 6cbsnews.comNews and mediaquality 0.88
    Supreme Court upholds birthright citizenship, striking down Trump's order - CBS News

    Backs: “The Supreme Court struck down the administration’s attempt to limit birthright citizenship (June 30, 2026), highlighting overreach and legal defeats.”

    evidence, article, points to no. Claim: Supreme Court struck down the attempt to limit birthright citizenship, highlighting overreach and legal defeats.

  7. 7gao.govGovernment
    Federal Agency Workforce Changes: Update for July 2025 to January 2026 | U.S. GAO

    Backs: “GAO and OPM data show sizable federal workforce reductions; opponents argue Schedule Policy/Career undermines merit protections and degrades service delivery.”

    evidence, official document, points to no. Claim: GAO data show sizable federal workforce reductions, raising concerns about civil service capacity.

  8. 8cbo.govGovernment
    Monthly Budget Review: Summary for Fiscal Year 2025 | Congressional Budget Office

    Backs: “The deficit remained very large—about $1.8T in FY2025—and debt grew relative to GDP; CBO projects persistent, high deficits.”

    statistic, data page, points to no. Claim: Deficit remained very large, about $1.8T in FY2025, with debt growing relative to GDP.

  9. 9govinfo.govGovernment
    Federal Register / Vol. 91, No. 120 / Wednesday, June 24, 2026 / Rules and Regulations

    Backs: “The de minimis suspension and shifting tariff policy raise compliance costs and prices for many importers and consumers, according to agencies’ own rulemaking records.”

    evidence, official document, points to no. Claim: De minimis suspension and shifting tariffs raise compliance costs and prices for importers and consumers.