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Claude Sonnet 5Sep 26, 2026anthropic/claude-sonnet-5-20260630

Is Donald Trump improving the US government?

This is a deeply contested political question where reasonable people disagree based on their values, priorities, and interpretation of evidence. I can't give you a definitive yes/no answer, but I can help outline the different perspectives and point you toward information so you can form your own judgment.Whether Trump is "improving" the government depends heavily on your political perspective and which metrics you prioritize. Here's what the evidence shows on both sides as of late September 2026:

The case supporters make

The White House and Republican allies point to several achievements: energy production is one of the strongest data-backed accomplishments, with U.S. crude oil production reaching approximately 13.6 million barrels per day in 2025, a record annual level, up roughly 350,000 barrels per day from the previous year. Senator Marsha Blackburn credited Trump with having "ended the illegal alien invasion... unleashed American energy dominance, restored law and order" along with tax cuts and falling gas prices.

The labor market has also held up: unemployment remained around the low 4 percent range in early 2026, with job growth continuing in healthcare, construction, transportation, and warehousing, despite critics' warnings of economic damage.

The case critics make

However, independent fact-checks complicate the administration's own narrative. On jobs, the economy added more than 2 million jobs in Biden's final year, compared with 473,000 in 2025 under Trump. On gas prices, Trump's claim of prices "at $1.99 in many states" doesn't hold up—the national average was $2.78 in January 2026, and no state had fallen below $2, with the lowest state average at $2.34.

On foreign policy, fact-checkers found problems too: Trump justified the 2026 Iran war partly by claiming Iran could "soon" reach the US mainland with ICBMs, but a 2025 Defense Intelligence Agency assessment said Iran was likely years away, not until 2035. That conflict also didn't go as claimed—Trump said Iran had no anti-aircraft equipment left, but two days later Iran shot down a US fighter jet.

Public opinion has soured significantly

Perhaps most tellingly, approval ratings—which reflect how Americans themselves judge his performance—have declined substantially:

•Trump's job approval sits at 34%, lower than most recent presidents at comparable points, with a partisan gap of 78 percentage points.
•Notably, the decrease in approval has primarily come from Republicans, with 69% approving now versus 84% in February 2025.
•Trump started 2025 with a positive net approval rating of 2, but ratings fell to -19 earlier in 2026, the lowest of his current term, with the decline linked to the incursion into Venezuela, the Greenland acquisition push, and ICE-related killings that sparked nationwide protests.
•On government ethics specifically, only 37% of Republicans now say ethics in government has risen under Trump, down from expectations of 59% at the start, while 23% say it has fallen; Democrats overwhelmingly say ethics has fallen (88%).

Bottom line

There's a genuine split in the data: Trump has pursued a distinctive policy agenda (energy expansion, deregulation, tax cuts, immigration enforcement) that supporters view as delivering promised results, while independent economic data, fact-checks, and — notably — declining approval even among his own base suggest significant gaps between administration claims and outcomes on jobs, prices, and foreign policy.

Ultimately, "improving the government" is a value judgment that depends on what you think good governance looks like — whether that's economic growth metrics, rule of law, institutional norms, foreign policy outcomes, or something else. I'd encourage looking at primary sources on specific policies you care about most rather than relying on any single verdict.

Citations (13)

  1. 1stl.newsNews and media
    Trump’s Second Term: The Data Behind the Accomplishments and the Fight Over the Narrative in 2026

    Source excerpt: “One of the strongest data-backed accomplishments of Trump’s second term is energy production. U.S. crude oil production reached approximately 13.6 mil...”

  2. 2senate.govGovernment
    Blackburn Celebrates President Trump’s Historic First Year of Second Term

    Source excerpt: ““He has ended the illegal alien invasion created by Joe Biden, unleashed American energy dominance, restored law and order, and advanced peace through...”

  3. 3stl.newsNews and media
    Trump’s Second Term: The Data Behind the Accomplishments and the Fight Over the Narrative in 2026

    Source excerpt: “The labor market remained stable through major second-term policy changes. Unemployment remained around the low 4 percent range in early 2026, and job...”

  4. 4wral.comNews and mediaquality 0.88
    Fact-checking Donald Trump’s claims about his second term accomplishments :: WRAL.com

    Source excerpt: “During Biden’s final year in office, the economy added more than 2 million jobs overall, compared with 473,000 in 2025 under Trump. ”

  5. 5wral.comNews and mediaquality 0.88
    Fact-checking Donald Trump’s claims about his second term accomplishments :: WRAL.com

    Source excerpt: “Trump also said gasoline is "at $1.99 in many states." In the second week of January 2026, the average price per gallon nationally was $2.78, compared...”

  6. 6wikipedia.orgEncyclopedias and referencequality 0.83
    False or misleading statements by Donald Trump (second term) - Wikipedia

    Source excerpt: “In his announcement of the 2026 war against Iran, Trump said the objective was "to defend the American people by eliminating eminent [sic] threat...”

  7. 7wikipedia.orgEncyclopedias and referencequality 0.83
    False or misleading statements by Donald Trump (second term) - Wikipedia

    Source excerpt: “On April 1, 2026, Trump claimed that Iran "have no anti-aircraft equipment" left and "Their radar is 100% annihilated". Two days later, Iran shot down...”

  8. 8pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Trump’s job approval rating is low by historical standards | Pew Research Center

    Source excerpt: “Trump's job approval sits at 34%, lower than most recent presidents at comparable points, with a partisan gap of 78 percentage points. ”

  9. 9pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Trump’s job approval rating is low by historical standards | Pew Research Center

    Source excerpt: “The decrease in Trump’s approval ratings during his current administration has primarily come from Republicans and Republican-leaning independents: To...”

  10. 10yahoo.comNews and mediaquality 0.69
    Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Shows New Changes

    Source excerpt: “Donald Trump started 2025 with a positive net approval rating of 2, which even climbed up to 4 before March. However, things have only gone downhill f...”

  11. 11yahoo.comNews and mediaquality 0.69
    Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Shows New Changes

    Source excerpt: “The fall seems to have been triggered by Trump’s incursion into Venezuela as well as his intended acquisition of Greenland. Additionally, the recent...”

  12. 12pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Trump Loses Ground on Several Personal Traits as Approval Rating Slips | Pew Research Center

    Source excerpt: “Today, 37% of Republicans and Republican leaners say the level of ethics in government has risen with Trump as president, while 23% say it has fallen....”

  13. 13pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Trump Loses Ground on Several Personal Traits as Approval Rating Slips | Pew Research Center

    Source excerpt: “Democrats and Democratic leaners overwhelmingly say the level of ethics and honesty has fallen over Trump’s term (88%). ”