Are humans responsible for climate change?
I'll gather the latest scientific evidence to answer whether humans are driving climate change.
Yes - according to the overwhelming scientific evidence and consensus, humans are the principal cause of recent climate change.
What the scientific consensus says
Multiple independent efforts to quantify expert agreement show overwhelming consensus that recent warming is anthropogenic, with studies reporting consensus figures from ~97% to greater than 99%.
This consensus is endorsed by leading science organizations around the world including international and U.S. science academies and the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
What the IPCC and NASA conclude
The IPCC used its strongest terms yet in its Sixth Assessment Report:
> "It is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land."
The report noted the stark language marked a shift from previous reports, which had said it was "extremely likely" that industrial activity was to blame.
An IPCC co-author stated: "There is no uncertainty language in this sentence, because there is no uncertainty that global warming is caused by human activity and the burning of fossil fuels".
A previous IPCC report had already stated there is 95 percent certainty that humans have caused most of the warming of the planet's surface that has occurred since the 1950s.
NASA similarly concludes:
> There is unequivocal evidence that Earth is warming at an unprecedented rate. Human activity is the principal cause.
And:
> Scientists attribute the global warming trend observed since the mid-20th century to the human expansion of the "greenhouse effect" — warming that results when the atmosphere traps heat radiating from Earth toward space.
In its Sixth Assessment Report, the IPCC concluded that it is unequivocal that the increase of CO2, methane, and nitrous oxide in the atmosphere over the industrial era is the result of human activities and that human influence is the principal driver of many changes observed across the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere and biosphere.
How humans are causing it
Five key greenhouse gases are carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide, methane, chlorofluorocarbons, and water vapor, with CO2, methane and nitrous oxide increasing due to fossil fuel burning, deforestation, agriculture, and industrial processes.
Direct observational proof has been measured by satellites. NASA scientists have provided evidence through satellite observations that greenhouse gases are heating the Earth, with one study noting: "It's direct evidence that human activities are causing changes to Earth's energy budget".
The researchers stated: "It's direct evidence that human activities are causing changes to Earth's energy budget."
Why natural causes do not explain current warming
Natural variability, solar cycles, and volcanic activity do influence climate, but multiple lines of evidence show they cannot account for the rapid warming observed since the mid-20th century. Human emissions of greenhouse gases are the dominant forcing.
In summary, the scientific community concludes it is unequivocal that human activity — primarily burning fossil fuels, deforestation, and industrial and agricultural emissions — is the principal cause of the current warming trend.
Citations (3)
- 6 key takeaways from the IPCC climate change report | World Economic Forum
Backs: “What the IPCC and NASA conclude. The IPCC used its strongest terms yet in its Sixth Assessment Report:”
- Climate Change - NASA Science
Backs: “NASA similarly concludes: There is unequivocal evidence that Earth is warming at an unprecedented rate.”
- Causes - NASA Science
Backs: “There is unequivocal evidence that Earth is warming at an unprecedented rate. Human activity is the principal cause. And: Scientists attribute the global warming trend observed since the mid-20th century to the human expansion of the "greenhouse effect" — warming that results when the atmosphere traps heat radiating…”