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GPT-5Sep 24, 2026openai/gpt-5-2025-08-07

Is Donald Trump improving the US government?

Short answer: it’s mixed, and it depends on what you mean by “improving.”

A few concrete ways the federal government has changed under President Trump (sworn in on January 20, 2025):

•Civil service and agency management
•A governmentwide hiring freeze and workforce‑reduction directives led to large net separations in 2025; GAO and OPM document sharp declines and new hiring rules. In 2026 OPM finalized a “Schedule Policy/Career” rule that makes thousands of policy‑influencing civil service roles easier to reassign or remove, increasing White House control but raising concerns about politicization.[1]
•GAO says OMB and several major agencies have not fully met newer transparency and performance‑reporting requirements on Performance.gov, which can hinder accountability.[2]
•A 42‑day shutdown (Oct 1–Nov 12, 2025) disrupted operations; BEA estimates the service stoppage shaved about 1 percentage point from Q4‑2025 GDP growth.[3]
•OMB’s January 2025 order to pause grants and loans triggered confusion and court blocks; the White House rescinded the memo within days amid litigation.[4]
•Fiscal picture
•Deficits remain historically large. CBO puts FY2026 at about $1.9 trillion (~5.8% of GDP) and estimates that recent trade policy changes raise projected deficits further over the next decade.[5]
•Border and immigration administration
•Southwest border encounters have fallen to their lowest level in over 50 years, reflecting a dramatically tighter enforcement posture. The White House has claimed “negative net migration,” but independent fact‑checking says that conclusion is not yet supported by official population data.[6]
•Regulation and energy/environment
•The administration has pursued sweeping rollbacks—rescinding EPA’s 2009 greenhouse‑gas “endangerment finding” and reversing or proposing to repeal multiple climate and air‑pollution rules; DOT has moved to relax fuel‑economy standards. EPA also changed how it tallies health benefits in major air rules, which affects cost‑benefit justifications. Supporters see cost savings and energy reliability; critics warn of health and climate harms.[7]
•Cyber and modernization
•The White House issued orders directing agencies to prepare for post‑quantum cryptography—an example of forward‑looking modernization many experts favor.[8]
•Workforce morale and service capacity
•With OPM delaying/canceling the 2025 Federal Employee Viewpoint Survey, the Partnership for Public Service fielded its own governmentwide survey and reported significantly worse scores on employees’ ability to serve the public compared with 2024.[9]

Bottom line: If you define “improving” as tighter border enforcement, a smaller civil service, and aggressive deregulation, you can point to measurable movement. If you define it as stronger institutional capacity, transparency, fiscal sustainability, and stable service delivery, the record shows strains from the 2025 shutdown, grant‑pause confusion, persistent large deficits, incomplete performance reporting, and lower reported employee ability to serve.

If you tell me which outcomes matter most to you—cost savings, service quality, rulemaking, immigration, climate, civil service independence—I can dig deeper into that slice with the latest data.[10]

Citations (10)

  1. 1gao.govGovernment
    Federal Agency Workforce Changes: Update for January to June 2025 | U.S. GAO

    Backs: “In 2026 OPM finalized a “Schedule Policy/Career” rule that makes thousands of policy‑influencing civil service roles easier to reassign or remove, increasing White House control but raising concerns about politicization.”

  2. 2gao.govGovernment
    GAO-26-108516, GOVERNMENT PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT: OMB and Selected Agencies Need to Fully Address New Requirements

    Backs: “GAO says OMB and several major agencies have not fully met newer transparency and performance‑reporting requirements on Performance.gov, which can hinder accountability.”

  3. 3everycrsreport.comEncyclopedias and referencequality 0.91
    The 2025 (FY2026) Government Shutdown: Economic Effects - EveryCRSReport.com

    Backs: “BEA estimates the service stoppage shaved about 1 percentage point from Q4‑2025 GDP growth.”

  4. 4investing.comNews and mediaquality 0.54
    Trump aid freeze stirs chaos before it is blocked in court By Reuters

    Backs: “OMB’s January 2025 order to pause grants and loans triggered confusion and court blocks; the White House rescinded the memo within days amid litigation.”

  5. 5cbo.govGovernment
    The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036 | Congressional Budget Office

    Backs: “CBO puts FY2026 at about $1.9 trillion (~5.8% of GDP) and estimates that recent trade policy changes raise projected deficits further over the next decade.”

  6. 6pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Migrant encounters at US-Mexico border at lowest level in over 50 years | Pew Research Center

    Backs: “The White House has claimed “negative net migration,” but independent fact‑checking says that conclusion is not yet supported by official population data.”

  7. 7epa.govGovernment
    Final Rule: Rescission of the Greenhouse Gas Endangerment Finding and Motor Vehicle Greenhouse Gas Emission Standards Under the Clean Air Act | US EPA

    Backs: “Supporters see cost savings and energy reliability; critics warn of health and climate harms.”

  8. 8ncsl.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Trump Administration Actions: Key Executive Orders and Policies

    Backs: “The White House issued orders directing agencies to prepare for post‑quantum cryptography—an example of forward‑looking modernization many experts favor.”

  9. 9ourpublicservice.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Partnership for Public Service survey finds Trump administration failing to effectively manage government, federal workers’ ability to serve the public significantly worse than a year ago - Partnership for Public Service

    Backs: “With OPM delaying/canceling the 2025 Federal Employee Viewpoint Survey, the Partnership for Public Service fielded its own governmentwide survey and reported significantly worse scores on employees’ ability to serve the public compared with 2024.”

  10. 10usa.govGovernment
    Presidents, vice presidents, and first ladies | USAGov

    Backs: “If you tell me which outcomes matter most to you—cost savings, service quality, rulemaking, immigration, climate, civil service independence—I can dig deeper into that slice with the latest data.”