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GPT-5Sep 17, 2026openai/gpt-5-2025-08-07

Is Donald Trump improving the US government?

Short answer: It depends what “improving” means to you. Here’s a concise, evidence‑based snapshot of how the federal government has changed since Donald Trump returned to office on January 20, 2025 (today is September 17, 2026).

Where supporters see “improvement”

•Tighter border enforcement and fewer unlawful crossings: Multiple datasets and reporting show encounters at the southwest border have fallen dramatically since early 2025, with several months under 10,000 encounters — lows not seen in decades. Interior removals have also increased.[1]
•Big tax-and-policy package: Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill (July 4, 2025), extending parts of the 2017 tax cuts and adding “no tax on tips/overtime” and other changes the IRS has implemented for 2025 filings. Backers say it simplifies taxes for many workers and seniors.[2]
•Crime has fallen: The FBI’s preliminary 2025 data show the largest one‑year drop in violent crime since national estimates began (−9.3%), with murder down sharply; independent analysts report further declines in 2026.[3]
•Smaller federal workforce and deregulatory push: The administration reimposed a hiring freeze, shrank headcount, and moved to roll back or block numerous environmental and other rules, arguing this streamlines government and lowers costs.[4]

Where critics see harm to government performance or norms

•Politicization of the civil service and data: New hiring screens, efforts to reclassify career roles (e.g., “Schedule Policy/Career”), and pressure on federal statistical work have drawn lawsuits and warnings from good‑government groups and data experts.[5]
•Courts have checked key initiatives: The Supreme Court blocked his emergency tariff plan (IEEPA) and limited his birthright‑citizenship order; lower courts have enjoined a federal mail‑ballot order ahead of midterms.[6]
•Public confidence remains low: Polling in 2025–2026 shows trust in the federal government and institutions near historic lows, with many Americans saying Trump is making government work worse.[7]
•Fiscal picture hasn’t improved: CBO projects large deficits in 2025–2026 (about $1.8–$1.9 trillion), and recent trade/tariff shifts add to longer‑term deficit projections.[8]
•Services and state partners: Analyses report substantial freezes or cuts to federal grants affecting health, nutrition, environment, and disaster relief; unions and watchdogs warn of operational strain from workforce reductions.[9]
•Environmental and climate governance: EPA has repealed major power‑plant CO₂ rules and used the CRA to negate California vehicle‑emission waivers, moves supporters call cost‑saving and opponents call damaging to long‑term public health and climate goals.[10]

Bottom line

•If “improving” means a smaller, more hard‑line executive focused on immigration enforcement, deregulation, and tax relief, you may say yes. If it means strengthening nonpartisan capacity, rule‑of‑law guardrails, environmental stewardship, stable finances, and broad public trust, the record points the other way.[11]

If you tell me which aspects of “improvement” you care about most (e.g., service efficiency, rule of law, budgets, climate, immigration, national security), I can go deeper on just those.[12]

Citations (12)

  1. 1pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Migrant encounters at US-Mexico border at lowest level in over 50 years | Pew Research Center

    Backs: “Multiple datasets and reporting show encounters at the southwest border have fallen dramatically since early 2025, with several months under 10,000 encounters — lows not seen in decades. Interior removals have also increased.”

  2. 2whitehouse.govGovernment
    President Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Is Now the Law – The White House

    Backs: “Backers say it simplifies taxes for many workers and seniors.”

  3. 3fbi.govGovernment
    FBI Releases Historic Early Look at Annual Crime Data — FBI

    Backs: “The FBI’s preliminary 2025 data show the largest one‑year drop in violent crime since national estimates began (−9.3%), with murder down sharply; independent analysts report further declines in 2026.”

  4. https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/full_text/html/2025/01/28/2025-01905.html

    Backs: “The administration reimposed a hiring freeze, shrank headcount, and moved to roll back or block numerous environmental and other rules, arguing this streamlines government and lowers costs.”

  5. 5govinfo.govGovernment
    Federal Register / Vol. 91, No. 25 / Friday, February 6, 2026 / Rules and Regulations 5611

    Backs: “New hiring screens, efforts to reclassify career roles (e.g., “Schedule Policy/Career”), and pressure on federal statistical work have drawn lawsuits and warnings from good‑government groups and data experts.”

  6. 6justia.comEncyclopedias and reference
    Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump | 607 U.S. ___ (2026) | Justia U.S. Supreme Court Center

    Backs: “The Supreme Court blocked his emergency tariff plan (IEEPA) and limited his birthright‑citizenship order; lower courts have enjoined a federal mail‑ballot order ahead of midterms.”

  7. 7gallup.comCompanies
    Confidence in U.S. Institutions Remains Near All-Time Low

    Backs: “Polling in 2025–2026 shows trust in the federal government and institutions near historic lows, with many Americans saying Trump is making government work worse.”

  8. 8cbo.govGovernment
    The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2025 to 2035 | Congressional Budget Office

    Backs: “CBO projects large deficits in 2025–2026 (about $1.8–$1.9 trillion), and recent trade/tariff shifts add to longer‑term deficit projections.”

  9. 9apnews.comNews and mediaquality 1.00
    Trump administration has cut or frozen $177 billion in grants across every state, analysis shows

    Backs: “Analyses report substantial freezes or cuts to federal grants affecting health, nutrition, environment, and disaster relief; unions and watchdogs warn of operational strain from workforce reductions.”

  10. 10epa.govGovernment
    General Fact Sheet: Final Carbon Pollution Standards Repeal & Proposed Repeal of GHG Standards for Fossil-Fired EGUs

    Backs: “EPA has repealed major power‑plant CO₂ rules and used the CRA to negate California vehicle‑emission waivers, moves supporters call cost‑saving and opponents call damaging to long‑term public health and climate goals.”

  11. 11pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Federal workforce shrank 10% in Trump’s first year back in office | Pew Research Center

    Backs: “If it means strengthening nonpartisan capacity, rule‑of‑law guardrails, environmental stewardship, stable finances, and broad public trust, the record points the other way.”

  12. 12usa.govGovernment
    Presidents, vice presidents, and first ladies | USAGov

    Backs: “If you tell me which aspects of “improvement” you care about most (e.g., service efficiency, rule of law, budgets, climate, immigration, national security), I can go deeper on just those.”