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Gemini 3.5 FlashNov 8, 2026google/gemini-3.5-flash-20260519

Are prices lower in stores compared to a year ago?

Broadly speaking, no, overall prices in stores are not lower than they were a year ago. While the rapid rate of price increases (inflation) has moderated from its pandemic-era peaks, overall prices are still climbing.

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.7% over the 12 months ending in autumn 2026.

However, whether you are paying more or less depends heavily on what you are shopping for. A category-by-category breakdown reveals how store prices compare to last year:

1. Grocery Stores & Supermarkets (Food-at-Home)

Overall grocery prices increased by about 1.8% to 2.5% over the past year. While this represents a return to a more "normal" rate of inflation compared to the double-digit spikes of 2022, groceries are still more expensive on average.

•Where prices are LOWER:
•Eggs: The biggest relief for shoppers has been egg prices, which dropped roughly 20% to 29% year-over-year as poultry flocks continued to recover from the avian influenza outbreak.
•Dairy: Prices for dairy products dipped slightly, down about 0.4% to 0.7%.
•Where prices are HIGHER:
•Beef and Veal: Meat counters remain highly expensive, with beef prices surging by 8.7% to 9.4% over the past year due to shrinking U.S. cattle herds.
•Coffee: Prices are up about 7.1% compared to a year ago.
•Sugar and Sweets: Up roughly 6.5%.
•Fresh Produce: Fresh fruits (up ~4.9%) and fresh vegetables (up ~2.8% to 5.8%) are both more expensive.

2. Clothing & Apparel

If you are clothes shopping, you are likely paying more. Apparel prices in stores rose about 3.4% compared to the previous year.

3. Furniture & Home Goods

Home goods have seen some of the most consistent price drops. Prices for furniture and bedding are down about 2.4% year-over-year, largely due to stabilizing global supply chains and retailers using promotions to clear inventory.

4. Electronics & Appliances

Prices for core consumer goods like appliances and electronics have remained mostly flat or drifted slightly downward into negative territory, offering some minor relief for holiday shoppers.


The Bottom Line: "Cooling" Inflation is Not "Deflation"

Many shoppers search for lower prices expecting them to return to pre-inflation levels. However, "cooling inflation" simply means that prices are rising more slowly than they used to, not that they are going down. Because the massive price jumps from 2021 to 2024 are permanently baked into store shelves, a typical grocery or retail basket remains significantly more expensive than it was a few years ago, even if a handful of items (like eggs and furniture) have gotten cheaper over the last 12 months.

Citations (9)

  1. 1grocerytradenews.comNews and media
    grocerytradenews.com

    Backs: “Broadly speaking, no, overall prices in stores are not lower than they were a year ago. While the rapid rate of price increases (inflation) has moderated from its pandemic-era peaks, overall prices are still climbing.”

  2. 2grocerytrack.foodNot yet classified
    grocerytrack.food

    Backs: “Broadly speaking, no, overall prices in stores are not lower than they were a year ago. While the rapid rate of price increases (inflation) has moderated from its pandemic-era peaks, overall prices are still climbing.”

  3. 3bls.govGovernment
    bls.gov

    Backs: “According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.7% over the 12 months ending in autumn 2026.”

  4. 4netchoice.orgNot yet classified
    netchoice.org

    Backs: “Overall grocery prices increased by about 1.8% to 2.5% over the past year.”

  5. 5moneytalksnews.comCommercial contentquality 0.66
    moneytalksnews.com

    Backs: “Eggs: The biggest relief for shoppers has been egg prices, which dropped roughly 20% to 29% year-over-year as poultry flocks continued to recover from the avian influenza outbreak.”

  6. 6usda.govGovernment
    usda.gov

    Backs: “Dairy: Prices for dairy products dipped slightly, down about 0.4% to 0.7%.”

  7. 7fibre2fashion.comNews and media
    fibre2fashion.com

    Backs: “Apparel prices in stores rose about 3.4% compared to the previous year.”

  8. 8cso.ieNot yet classified
    cso.ie

    Backs: “Home goods have seen some of the most consistent price drops.”

  9. 9ycharts.comData and tools
    ycharts.com

    Backs: “Prices for furniture and bedding are down about 2.4% year-over-year, largely due to stabilizing global supply chains and retailers using promotions to clear inventory.”