Is climate change real?
Answering whether climate change is real — I'll gather the latest scientific consensus and evidence.
Yes, according to the overwhelming scientific evidence and consensus, climate change is real and happening now.
The Scientific Consensus
There is scientific consensus that the Earth has been consistently warming since the start of the Industrial Revolution, that the rate of recent warming is largely unprecedented, and that this warming is mainly the result of a rapid increase in atmospheric greenhouse gases.
This consensus is documented by major scientific bodies:
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the international body that assesses climate science, concludes:
> It is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land.
Comparing observations with model runs that include and exclude human influence led the IPCC to state that it is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land.
The IPCC also states:
> “Since systematic scientific assessments began in the 1970s, the influence of human activity on the warming of the climate system has evolved from theory to established fact.”
And:
> “Since systematic scientific assessments began in the 1970s, the influence of human activity on the warming of the climate system has evolved from theory to established fact.”
Multiple studies published in peer-reviewed scientific journals show that 97 percent or more of actively publishing climate scientists agree: Climate-warming trends over the past century are extremely likely due to human activity. A statement cited by NASA notes:
> Based on well-established evidence, about 97% of climate scientists have concluded that human-caused climate change is happening.
More recent literature surveys have found even higher agreement, including greater than 99% agreement in peer-reviewed literature.
More than 18 scientific associations have stated:
> "Observations throughout the world make it clear that climate change is occurring, and rigorous scientific research demonstrates that the greenhouse gases emitted by human activities are the primary driver."
Evidence of Change
Scientists use measurements (temperature records, atmospheric CO2), understanding of the greenhouse effect, and computer models to attribute warming, and note that:
> The current warming trend is different because it is clearly the result of human activities since the mid-1800s, and is proceeding at a rate not seen over many recent millennia.
Key lines of evidence include:
Other observed signs listed by NASA include:
The cause is the human expansion of the "greenhouse effect" — scientists attribute the global warming trend observed since the mid-20th century to the human expansion of the "greenhouse effect". While the Sun has played a role in past climate changes, the evidence shows the current warming cannot be explained by the Sun.
In short, the scientific community treats human-caused climate change not as a debate, but as an established fact supported by converging evidence from temperature records, ocean heat content, ice loss, sea-level rise, and the physics of greenhouse gases.
Citations (2)
- Scientific Consensus - NASA Science
Backs: “There is scientific consensus that the Earth has been consistently warming since the start of the Industrial Revolution, that the rate of recent warming is largely unprecedented, and that this warming is mainly the result of a rapid increase in atmospheric greenhouse gases. This consensus is documented by major…”
- Evidence - NASA Science
Backs: “Comparing observations with model runs that include and exclude human influence led the IPCC to state that it is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land. The IPCC also states: “Since systematic scientific assessments began in the 1970s, the influence of human activity on the warming…”