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Claude Sonnet 5Nov 6, 2026anthropic/claude-sonnet-5-20260630

Are prices lower in stores compared to a year ago?

Short answer: No, prices overall are still higher than a year ago — but a few specific items have gotten cheaper.

The big picture

Overall inflation has not reversed — prices are still rising, just more slowly than during the 2021-2022 spike. The all-items Consumer Price Index, a measure of economy-wide inflation, increased 0.6 percent from August 2026 to September 2026 and was up 3.7 percent from September 2025.

For groceries specifically: the food-at-home (grocery store or supermarket food purchases) CPI increased 0.1 percent from August 2026 to September 2026 and was 1.8 percent higher than in September 2025.

Where prices HAVE dropped (year-over-year)

Not everything is more expensive — some items have actually seen notable price declines:

•Eggs: Egg prices increased 1.0 percent from August 2026 to September 2026 but were 20.6 percent lower in September 2026 than in September 2025. This is due to recovery from avian flu — an ongoing outbreak of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza caused egg prices to increase by reducing egg-layer flocks, but USDA is projecting an increase in egg production in 2026 over 2025.
•Dairy: Retail dairy prices decreased by 0.9 percent from August 2026 to September 2026 and were 0.7 percent lower in September 2026 than in September 2025.
•Bacon: The cooldown in meat prices hit a range of products, including bacon, which costs 3.3% less than it did a year ago.
•Butter: Butter prices plunged 10.3% last month compared to a year earlier, while prices for ice cream, milk and cheese each fell more than 2% over that period.

Where prices are still HIGHER year-over-year

•Beef: Beef and veal prices decreased by 1.3 percent from August 2026 to September 2026 but were 3.5 percent higher in September 2026 than in September 2025.
•Coffee: Instant coffee is up 15.8% year over year, roasted coffee up 12.2%, and coffee overall up 9.4%.
•Gasoline/energy (a big driver of the recent inflation uptick): the all-items CPI rose 0.6 percent from August to September 2026, largely because the index for gasoline rose 9.1 percent in September, accounting for over half of the monthly all items increase.

Bottom line

As one analysis put it: some foods cost less than they did a year ago, but across the grocery basket, prices remain higher. And more broadly, shoppers pay today's prices, which include increases accumulated over several years — slower inflation in 2026 does not reverse that buildup. So while you might notice cheaper eggs, butter, or dairy at the store, your overall grocery bill and most non-food goods are still costing more than they did a year ago — just not rising quite as fast as during the peak inflation years of 2022.

Citations (13)

  1. 1usda.govGovernment
    Food Price Outlook - Summary Findings | Economic Research Service

    Source excerpt: “The all-items Consumer Price Index (CPI), a measure of economy-wide inflation, increased 0.6 percent from August 2026 to September 2026. It was up 3.7...”

  2. 2usda.govGovernment
    Food Price Outlook - Summary Findings | Economic Research Service

    Source excerpt: “The food-at-home (grocery store or supermarket food purchases) CPI increased 0.1 percent from August 2026 to September 2026 and was 1.8 percent higher...”

  3. 3usda.govGovernment
    Food Price Outlook - Summary Findings | Economic Research Service

    Source excerpt: “Egg prices increased 1.0 percent from August 2026 to September 2026 but were 20.6 percent lower in September 2026 than in September 2025. ”

  4. 4usda.govGovernment
    Food Price Outlook - Summary Findings | Economic Research Service

    Source excerpt: “An ongoing outbreak of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) that began in 2022 has caused egg prices to increase by reducing egg-layer flocks and ...”

  5. 5usda.govGovernment
    Food Price Outlook - Summary Findings | Economic Research Service

    Source excerpt: “However, USDA is projecting an increase in egg production in 2026 over 2025. ”

  6. 6usda.govGovernment
    Food Price Outlook - Summary Findings | Economic Research Service

    Source excerpt: “Retail dairy prices decreased by 0.9 percent from August 2026 to September 2026 and were 0.7 percent lower in September 2026 than in September 2025. ”

  7. 7abcnews.comNews and mediaquality 0.67
    Which grocery prices are rising the fastest and which are falling? - ABC News

    Source excerpt: “The cooldown in meat prices hit a range of products, including bacon, which costs 3.3% less than it did a year ago. ”

  8. 8abcnews.comNews and mediaquality 0.67
    Which grocery prices are rising the fastest and which are falling? - ABC News

    Source excerpt: “Butter prices plunged 10.3% last month compared to a year earlier, while prices for ice cream, milk and cheese each fell more than 2% over that period...”

  9. 9usda.govGovernment
    Food Price Outlook - Summary Findings | Economic Research Service

    Source excerpt: “Beef and veal prices decreased by 1.3 percent from August 2026 to September 2026 but were 3.5 percent higher in September 2026 than in September 2025....”

  10. 10betterreport.comLow provenance
    Some Grocery Prices Are Finally Going Down — Here’s What’s Getting Cheaper - Better Report

    Source excerpt: “Coffee prices also continued to climb, with instant coffee up 15.8% year over year, roasted coffee up 12.2%, and coffee overall up 9.4%. ”

  11. 11bls.govGovernment
    Consumer Price Index Summary - 2026 M09 Results

    Source excerpt: “The index for gasoline rose 9.1 percent in September, accounting for over half of the monthly all items increase. ”

  12. 12foodtradenews.comNews and media
    Are Groceries Getting Cheaper? Why Your Bill May Say Otherwise - Food Trade News & Food World

    Source excerpt: “Some foods cost less than they did a year ago. Across the grocery basket, prices remain higher.”

  13. 13foodtradenews.comNews and media
    Are Groceries Getting Cheaper? Why Your Bill May Say Otherwise - Food Trade News & Food World

    Source excerpt: “First, shoppers pay today’s prices, which include increases accumulated over several years.USDA reports that food-at-home prices rose 11.4% in 2022 an...”