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Claude Sonnet 5Nov 5, 2026anthropic/claude-sonnet-5-20260630

Is Donald Trump improving the lives of Americans?

This is a question where reasonable people disagree based on their values and priorities, and it's not something I can answer definitively since it involves subjective political judgments rather than a factual determination. What I can do is point to some relevant, verifiable information that might help you form your own view.## It's genuinely contested — here's what the data shows from multiple angles

Public opinion has soured significantly on the economy specifically. As of late 2025/2026, polling shows a marked decline: three-in-ten Americans now approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president, while 68% disapprove, with his approval rating comparable to the lowest rating of his first term. Notably, a third of Americans approve of the way Trump is handling the economy, amounting to his lowest-ever approval rating on an issue long considered one of his strengths, with 60% disapproving. Even within his own coalition, a recent Politico poll found that Trump's supporters are likely to say the biggest failure of his second term is failing to address cost-of-living issues, with 54% of self-identified Trump voters saying cost of living remains their top issue.

On cost of living and prices: Since Trump returned to the White House 21 months ago, gas is up about $1.20 per gallon and mortgage rates have soared past 7 percent, hitting a three-year high. Independent analysis from the Center for American Progress found electricity prices increased by 2.5 times more than the annual inflation rate in 2025, the highest annual increase since December 2014, while natural gas wholesale spot prices rose 56 percent despite Trump's promise to cut energy prices in half. The same analysis estimated tariffs will cost the average household $1,700 annually according to the Yale Budget Lab.

On jobs: Economic research groups present a mixed-to-negative picture. CAP's modeling estimated the economy has roughly 1.2 million fewer jobs in 2025 and 2 million fewer jobs in 2026 as a result of the administration's policies, reflecting significantly weaker hiring, while noting the unemployment rate appears relatively unchanged, but both labor demand and labor supply have fallen. Separately, U.S. job growth has slowed from an average of 150,000 per month at the start of 2025 to just 25,000 by August.

The administration's own framing is very different. The White House states that Trump's pro-growth agenda has delivered strong economic momentum through tax relief, deregulation, and renewed private-sector investment, with inflation moderating, job creation accelerating, and consumer confidence rebounding as businesses expanded and wages rose in 2025. It also points to the S&P 500 setting 39 record highs in 2025.

One important nuance economists raise: even the stock market gains are unevenly distributed — only roughly 60% of Americans own shares, and the vast majority of market gains have accrued to the richest Americans.

Bottom line

There's a real tension between the administration's stated successes (tax cuts, deregulation, stock market records) and what independent economic data and polling — including from Trump's own voter base — suggest about lived experience: rising costs for gas, groceries, electricity, and housing, alongside a weakening job market. Whether someone concludes Trump is "improving lives" often depends on which indicators they weight most heavily (markets and GDP vs. everyday affordability) and their political priors. I'd encourage looking at the primary data sources (BLS, Federal Reserve, Census) directly if you want to form your own judgment free of partisan framing on either side.

Citations (13)

  1. 1pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    Trump’s Approval Rating Drops as Fewer Americans Are Confident in His Handling of the Economy, Other Issues | Pew Research Center

    Source excerpt: “Trump’s Approval Rating Drops as Fewer Americans Are Confident in His Handling of the Economy, Other Issues ... Three-in-ten Americans now approve of ...”

  2. 2pbs.orgNews and mediaquality 0.87
    Trump's economic approval rating hits new low, poll finds | PBS News

    Source excerpt: “A third of Americans approve of the way President Donald Trump is handling the economy, a new PBS News/NPR/Marist poll finds, amounting to his lowest-...”

  3. 3yahoo.comNews and mediaquality 0.69
    'More and more disenchanted': A final check-in on Trump's economic approval ratings before midterms

    Source excerpt: “A recent Politico poll also found that Trump's supporters are likely to say the biggest failure of his second term is failing to address cost-of-livin...”

  4. 4washingtonpost.comNews and mediaquality 0.82
    Mortgage rates, drug costs, wages: See Trump’s economy in 13 charts

    Source excerpt: “Since President Donald Trump returned to the White House 21 months ago, gas is up about $1.20 per gallon and mortgage rates have soared past 7 percent...”

  5. 5americanprogress.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    A Year in Review: How the Trump Administration’s Economic Policies Made Life Less Affordable for Americans - Center for American Progress

    Source excerpt: “In 2025, electricity prices increased by 2.5 times more than the annual inflation rate, which is the highest annual increase since December 2014.*** A...”

  6. 6americanprogress.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    A Year in Review: How the Trump Administration’s Economic Policies Made Life Less Affordable for Americans - Center for American Progress

    Source excerpt: “According to the Yale Budget Lab, the Trump administration’s tariffs will cost the average household $1,700 annually. ”

  7. 7americanprogress.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    RELEASE: Trump’s Economic Agenda Is Costing the U.S. $300 Billion per Year and Millions of Jobs - Center for American Progress

    Source excerpt: “The economy has roughly 1.2 million fewer jobs in 2025 and 2 million fewer jobs in 2026 as a result of the administration’s policies, reflecting signi...”

  8. 8americanprogress.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    RELEASE: Trump’s Economic Agenda Is Costing the U.S. $300 Billion per Year and Millions of Jobs - Center for American Progress

    Source excerpt: “A weaker job market despite stable unemployment. While the unemployment rate appears relatively unchanged, both labor demand and labor supply have fal...”

  9. 9thehill.comNews and mediaquality 0.90
    Inflation, job market woes hit Donald Trump's economy

    Source excerpt: “U.S. job growth has slowed from an average of 150,000 per month at the start of 2025 to just 25,000 by August, according to analysis from Elsie Peng, ...”

  10. 10whitehouse.govGovernment
    Grow The Economy – The White House

    Source excerpt: “In 2025, inflation moderated, job creation accelerated, and consumer confidence rebounded as businesses expanded and wages rose. ”

  11. 11whitehouse.govGovernment
    Grow The Economy – The White House

    Source excerpt: “President Trump’s pro-growth agenda has delivered strong economic momentum through tax relief, deregulation, and renewed private-sector investment. ”

  12. 12whitehouse.govGovernment
    Grow The Economy – The White House

    Source excerpt: “The S&P 500 stock market index set 39 record highs in 2025.”

  13. 13cepr.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    The economics of the second Trump administration | CEPR

    Source excerpt: “The stock market boom may garner much press and presidential attention – but only roughly 60% of Americans own shares – and most lower-income American...”