More answers like this
Muse Spark 1.2Nov 2, 2026meta/muse-spark-1.2-20260805

Is political polarization worse than it's been in the past?

Your question is timely — I'll gather recent data comparing today's polarization to past eras.

Yes and no — it depends on what timeframe and what kind of polarization you mean.

1. By modern measures, yes — the last 50-150 years is near a peak

Affective polarization — how much partisans dislike and distrust the opposing party — is at historically high levels in the US.

•Pew Research and American National Election Studies (ANES) data show increasingly negative feelings toward the opposing party and its leaders.
•Ratings of the opposing party have declined substantially, falling from the upper-40s during the late 1970s and 1980s to the mid 20s in 2012.
•The difference between the average score that Democrats and Republicans give to both parties has increased from about 25 points in 1990 to about 40 points in 2016.
•Between the late 1970s and 2012, the proportion of Americans with a positive opinion of one party and a negative opinion of the other party nearly doubled, going from 33% to 65%.
•A University of Cambridge Political Psychology Lab study found divisions on social and political issues have increased by 64% since 1988, with almost all this coming after 2008. Polarization almost flatlined during the nineties and noughties.

Ideological / congressional polarization is also at a modern high:

> Indeed, a Pew Research Center analysis finds that, on average, Democrats and Republicans are farther apart ideologically today than at any time in the past 50 years.
> It’s become commonplace among observers of U.S. politics to decry partisan polarization in Congress. Indeed, a Pew Research Center analysis finds that, on average, Democrats and Republicans are farther apart ideologically today than at any time in the past 50 years.

The measure used is DW-NOMINATE, which uses lawmakers' roll-call votes to place them on a liberal-conservative scale.

•The DW-NOMINATE index has measured polarization since 1879. Today: the highest level since the Civil War.
•Measures of ideological polarization such as the widely used DW-nominate score indicate that the ideological ‘distance’ between political parties have been steadily increasing since the 1970's, and are the highest they have been since the reconstruction era (1865 to 1877).
•The results from DW-NOMINATE indicate that the level of polarization in Congress is now the highest since the end of the Civil War.
•Polarization of the Democratic and Republican Parties is higher than at any time since the end of the Civil War.

Pew's analysis of that data found:

> There are now only about two dozen moderate Democrats and Republicans left on Capitol Hill, versus more than 160 in 1971-72.

> Between the 92nd Congress of 1971-72 and the current 117th Congress, both parties in both the House and the Senate have shifted further away from the center, but Republicans more so. House Democrats, for example, moved from about -0.31 to -0.38... House Republicans, by contrast, moved from 0.25 to nearly 0.51.

The common ground has effectively vanished:

> Five decades ago, 144 House Republicans were less conservative than the most conservative Democrat, and 52 House Democrats were less liberal than the most liberal Republican.

> Since 2002, when Republican Rep. Constance Morella of Maryland was defeated for reelection and GOP Rep. Benjamin Gilman of New York retired, there’s been no overlap at all between the least liberal Democrats and the least conservative Republicans in the House. In the Senate, the end of overlap came in 2004.

By that metric, the US is also an outlier internationally:

> Political polarization is higher in the United States than in any other advanced country for which we have comparable data.

2. By the sweep of American history, no — the Civil War era and 1960s were worse

Historians caution against saying 2020s America is the most divided ever.

> As a historian who has written and taught about the Civil War era for several decades, I know that current divisions pale in comparison to those of the mid-19th century.

> Between Abraham Lincoln’s election in November 1860 and the surrender of Robert E. Lee’s Confederate army at Appomattox in April 1865, the nation literally broke apart.

That period saw:

•More than 3 million men taking up arms and 620,000 military deaths – the equivalent of approximately 6.5 million dead in the United States of 2020.
•Concrete acts far beyond today's rhetorical barbs, such as U.S. Rep. Preston Brooks of South Carolina caning Sen. Charles Sumner of Massachusetts into bloody insensibility on the floor of the Senate chamber, the assassination of Lincoln by a member of the most celebrated family of actors, and the secession of seven slaveholding states between Dec. 20 and Feb. 1, 1861.

> To compare anything that has transpired in the past few years to this cataclysmic upheaval represents a spectacular lack of understanding about American history.

> No political issue in 2020 approaches slavery in the mid-19th century in terms of potential divisiveness.

Other periods of sustained violence were also more intense than today:

> The United States has gone through periods of far more sustained political violence, including the Civil War era, Reconstruction, the assassinations and racial violence of the 1960s, and earlier waves of extremist activity.

> With that said, the amount of violence we are witnessing is not as bad as the 1960s and 1860s.

> Political polarization is not always worse than it’s ever been. Riots raged across America in the 1960’s in response to racial injustice.

3. Why it feels worse now

Researchers distinguish two types:

> Affective polarisation — how much partisans dislike and distrust the opposing party — is at historically high levels in the US and rising in many other democracies. Policy polarisation — how far apart parties are on actual policy positions — is more complex: elites are highly polarised, but mass opinion on many specific policies shows more overlap than the culture war framing suggests.

In other words:

•Elites (Congress, media figures) are more ideologically sorted and distant than at any point since Reconstruction. That drives gridlock and negative campaigning.
•Ordinary voters dislike the other side much more than they used to, even if they don't necessarily love their own side more. That drives the perception of a country split in two.
•The disappearance of moderates and ideological overlap means compromise offers little electoral benefit, reinforcing discord.

So the short answer:

•Compared to the last 50 years (and since the 1870s in Congress): yes, by virtually every quantitative measure, polarization is worse than ever.
•Compared to the entirety of US history: no, the 1850s-1870s Civil War/Reconstruction era — when the country literally broke apart — and, by measures of political violence, the 1960s, were more divided.

Citations (3)

  1. Americans Are Politically Divided and Our Feelings toward The Parties Show It - Sabato's Crystal Ball

    Backs: “Affective polarization — how much partisans dislike and distrust the opposing party — is at historically high levels in the US. Pew Research and American National Election Studies (ANES) data show increasingly negative feelings toward the opposing party and its leaders.”

  2. 2pewresearch.orgNonprofits and think tanks
    The polarization in today’s Congress has roots that go back decades

    Backs: “It’s become commonplace among observers of U.S. politics to decry partisan polarization in Congress. Indeed, a Pew Research Center analysis finds that, on average, Democrats and Republicans are farther apart ideologically today than at any time in the past 50 years.”

  3. 3govexec.comNews and mediaquality 0.87
    Think the U.S. is More Polarized Than Ever? You Don’t Know History

    Backs: “By the sweep of American history, no — the Civil War era and 1960s were worse. Historians caution against saying 2020s America is the most divided ever. As a historian who has written and taught about the Civil War era for several decades, I know that current divisions pale in comparison to those of the mid-19th…”