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Claude Sonnet 5Oct 31, 2026anthropic/claude-sonnet-5-20260630

Is Donald Trump improving the US government?

This is a subjective political question that reasonable people disagree on, so I can't give a definitive yes/no answer. However, I can share what different perspectives say based on recent developments.## There's no single objective answer — it depends on your values and priorities

Whether Trump is "improving" the government is a judgment call that depends heavily on political perspective. Here's what the evidence shows from different angles as of late 2026:

Public opinion has turned negative

Polling shows a clear decline in approval. Trump's approval rating was 47% at the start of his second term, and throughout 2025-2026, it steadily declined to an average of 36 to 37%. More recent polling is even starker — Trump's approval rating fell to 30% in early October, the last time a president's approval was this low this close to midterms was Harry Truman in 1946. Notably, the decline is particularly pronounced among his own 2024 voters: 67% now approve of his performance, down from 95% early in his second term.

Economic dissatisfaction appears to be the biggest driver: only 26% of adults support his handling of the economy, and just 17% approve of how he's addressing cost of living.

Arguments that things are improving (supporter/administration view)

•Energy production: U.S. crude oil production reached approximately 13.6 million barrels per day in 2025, a record level, up roughly 350,000 barrels per day from the previous year.
•Labor market stability: Unemployment remained around the low 4 percent range in early 2026, with job growth continuing in healthcare, construction, transportation, and warehousing.
•Deregulation/executive action: PBS and other outlets reported a "staggering number" of executive orders aimed at expanding executive power and rolling back prior agency rules.
•Foreign policy wins touted by supporters: a Gaza ceasefire and pressure on NATO allies to increase defense spending, though the cease-fire halted the worst of the fighting but left the disarmament of Hamas unresolved.

Arguments that things are getting worse (critic view)

•Inflation/tariffs: Upon imposing the highest U.S. tariffs since the Great Depression, Trump claimed jobs and factories would come roaring back; however, manufacturing employment declined every month for the rest of the year, and consumer prices began rising despite claims inflation had stopped.
•Ethics/governance norms: A majority of Americans (56%) say the overall level of ethics and honesty in the federal government has fallen over Trump's term, while far fewer (19%) say it has risen. Even among his own base, confidence has eroded — only 37% of Republicans now say ethics in government has risen under Trump, down sharply from initial expectations.
•Institutional/legal concerns: Critics point to actions like the January 2026 airstrikes in Venezuela that captured President Maduro, conducted without congressional awareness or authorization, and an administration campaign described by the Brennan Center as rewriting election rules and retreating from the federal role in protecting elections.
•Democratic norms: Critics specifically cite the pardoning of roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, including some convicted of assaulting police officers, as a troubling precedent.

Bottom line

If "improving" means better economic conditions, lower costs, and higher public trust — the data (approval ratings, consumer sentiment, ethics perceptions) currently points negative, even among many of his own voters. If "improving" means executing campaign promises on energy, deregulation, immigration enforcement, and tariffs regardless of near-term costs, supporters would call that a success in direction if not yet in results. Reasonable people will weigh these tradeoffs differently based on their political values — I'd encourage you to look at the specific policy areas you care most about rather than seeking one verdict.

Citations (14)

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